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Sequester or Not Housing Recovery to Bode Well for Employment

A Housing Riddle: Why did the Homeowner Stop Making their Mortgage...

Underwriting Standards Likely to Tighten and Negatively Impact...

What do Changes in GDP Mean for the Housing Market Recovery?

Financing Trends for Government Contractors

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Sequester or Not Housing Recovery to Bode Well for Employment

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by Tim Rood on March 05 2013, 7:42 PM

The Budget Control Act's automatic spending cuts, allowed to roll into effect by Congress last week, risk stalling the relatively positive trends in the employment market. However, the full impacts of the sequester will not be fully understood for at...
A Housing Riddle: Why did the Homeowner Stop Making their Mortgage Payments?

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by Tim Rood on March 01 2013, 11:13 AM

0 false 18 pt 18 pt 0 0 false false false Here is a riddle: Why did the homeowner stop making their mortgage payments? Because they ran out of money. The riddle does not end with “because they only put down 3.5 percent of the purchase price.”...
Underwriting Standards Likely to Tighten and Negatively Impact Housing Indicators

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by Tim Rood on January 15 2013, 2:32 PM

The Housing Market Index (HMI) is a monthly survey of 300 homebuilders to gauge demand for new home construction, and their corresponding confidence. New home construction has historically contributed roughly five percent to gross domestic product (GDP...
What do Changes in GDP Mean for the Housing Market Recovery?

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by Tim Rood on December 20 2012, 9:16 AM

This week the Commerce Department will release gross domestic product (GDP) data for the end of 2012. Given the sustained uncertainty around the fiscal cliff, and recent projections from the Federal Reserve, GDP is likely to maintain current levels or...
Financing Trends for Government Contractors

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by Brian Montgomery on November 28 2012, 8:49 PM

It is no secret that commercial banks are less likely to provide credit to small and medium-sized businesses than in the past, and government contractors are certainly not immune to this trend. For those companies in need of working capital and lacking...
Expect Weakened Confidence in the Winter Months

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by Tim Rood on November 27 2012, 10:00 AM

Leading up to the November election, expectations for the future likely reflected optimism, or at least wishful thinking, but with widespread media coverage of the impending fiscal cliff debate and the status quo election results, consumers are likely...
Demographics Cannot be Destiny

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by Manoj Singh, Ph.D on November 16 2012, 1:44 PM

The interpretation of the results of the November 6th’s election, from triumphant victors to over-analyzing pundits, appears to suggest that the fate of the United States going forward will be determined by one factor – the hurtling demographic...
Former FHA Commissioner: Shortfall Pales in Comparison to the Economic Value it Provides

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by Brian Montgomery on November 16 2012, 7:43 AM

Here is the $64,000 question (or $1 trillion in FHA’s world) what happens after the fiscal year 2012 actuarial review is released to the public? In reality, we may not know the true state of FHA's fiscal health for several more months. For one,...
Now What? - A Post-Election Analysis of Potential Housing Reform

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by Tim Rood on November 07 2012, 2:25 PM

We are all hopeful about the opportunity to begin to move past the politics , and towards having bipartisan support for comprehensive housing reform that will do more than simply add to the regulatory burden on the industry. Instead, we will need to leverage...
Economic Development Shouldn’t Require a Natural Disaster

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by Tim Rood on November 01 2012, 4:56 AM

Last month the unemployment rate dipped below the eight percent mark for the first in 2012 - much to the delight of media pundits and President Obama's Administration. We can all agree that the most important fix for our economy is more jobs and that...
Consumer Confidence: Stop Talking About the "Undecided Voter" and Start Talking About The "Disenchanted Consumer"

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by Tim Rood on October 29 2012, 3:54 PM

Last month's Consumer Confidence Index showed general improvements and reported that optimists now again outnumber pessimists on income expectations. But although the index shows relative good news, when you put the increases and strong forecasts for...
Home Prices and What to Expect from the Upcoming Winter Months

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by Tim Rood on October 23 2012, 6:30 PM

Home prices appear to be the silver lining of the housing market today, as one of the main indicators showing consistent signs of improvement and recovery. Most reputable indices show that home prices have bottomed and are now rising. Because most consumers...
Understanding the Causal Relationships Driving Housing Indicators

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by Tim Rood on October 17 2012, 9:15 AM

Existing home sales, median home price data and new residential construction data will be released later this week. To understand and predict these reports you really need to understand the causal relationships with other data sources (listed below)....
Consumers Still Keeping Us Out of the Red

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by Tim Rood on October 04 2012, 2:35 PM

Summary When using GDP components as our proxies for patterns and predictions in the employment market it is hard to find reasons to be optimistic about the upcoming September Employment Situation Report. For example: Real federal government consumption...
Previewing Monthly Home Price Index and New Residential Sales

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by Tim Rood on September 24 2012, 5:35 PM

Last week both residential construction and existing home sales were up modestly. Median home prices and the number of homes sold are both up nearly 10 percent year over year. However, these indexes are improving despite the lackluster demand of traditional...

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