August 2020 - MBS Commentary

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Affordability Improves; New Mortgage Rate Record; What Is a "Top Tier" Scenario?

Published: 8/4/2020

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MBS RECAP: Bonds Continue Pushing The Record Pace, But MBS Are Lagging

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by Matthew Graham on August 04 2020, 4:11 PM

Bonds Continue Pushing The Record Pace, But MBS Are Lagging Yesterday we asked what would come next for bonds after breaking through resistance levels (.58 in 10yr yields and 103.00 in 2.0 UMBS), what comes next. Such breakouts can be the cue for a corrective...
MBS Day Ahead: Another Day, Another Record High For MBS

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by Matthew Graham on August 04 2020, 9:49 AM

While there's no way to know how the day will wrap up for the MBS market, we know how it's starting out. We also know how 4 of the past 5 days have started out (and wrapped up, for that matter): at all-time highs. The following chart of 2.0 UMBS...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Defend New Territory

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by Matthew Graham on August 03 2020, 4:31 PM

Bonds Defend New Territory Now that bonds have broken through previous resistance levels (.58 in 10yr yields and 103.00 in 2.0 UMBS), what comes next? Rather than look for fast-paced follow-through, it would be enough of a victory to merely see bonds...
MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Defend New Territory

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by Matthew Graham on August 03 2020, 9:23 AM

Now that bonds have broken through previous resistance levels (.58 in 10yr yields and 103.00 in 2.0 UMBS), what comes next? Rather than look for fast-paced follow-through, it would be enough of a victory to merely see bonds maintain these newly acquired...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 2.81%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.38%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.65%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-18 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-11 (0-05)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 110-10 (-0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -0.81%
|
Refinance Index -0.44%
|
Purchase Index -1.54%

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MBS RECAP: Bonds Continue Pushing The Record Pace, But MBS Are Lagging

MBS Day Ahead: Another Day, Another Record High For MBS

MBS RECAP: Bonds Defend New Territory

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Defend New Territory

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