March 2009 - MBS Commentary

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MBS CLOSE: PREPARING OURSELVES

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by Adam Quinones on March 31 2009, 7:01 PM

3pm Closing Marks.... FN30 _______________________________ FN 4.0 -------->>>> +0-00 to 100-17 from 100-17 FN 4.5 -------->>>> +0-01 to 102-04 from 102-03 FN 5.0 -------->>>> +0-02 to 103-05 from 103-03 FN 5.5 ----...
MBS UPDATE: Consolidated and Re-Testing

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by Adam Quinones on March 31 2009, 2:59 PM

MBS has consolidated its gains and recovered from intraday lows. At these price levels one would expect originators to be making some delivery commitments (lock in loans), however month end/quarter end balance sheet positioning and the generally apathy...
MBS ALERT Part 2: Potential Recovery

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2009, 12:48 PM

Choppy trading has been the norm, but this recovery may help mitigate reprice risk. No telling where we'll be five minutes from now though...
MBS ALERT: Flirting with Lows Of The Day

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2009, 12:42 PM

tsy's and mbs both under pressure at the moment. Not the lows of the day, but certainly lows of recent range. There is a moderate risk that this will prompt some lenders to reprice for the worse.
MBS LUNCH: OVERHEAD RESISTANCE

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by Adam Quinones on March 31 2009, 11:59 AM

MBS has given way to short term technical resistance. The stack was unable to crest yesterday's intraday price highs after profit takers emerged when MBS prices were deemed too expensive (in dollar terms) Change Since 3pm Closing Marks... FN30 _______________________________...
MBS MORNING: Month End for Mortgage World

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by Adam Quinones on March 31 2009, 10:35 AM

The TBA MBS market is quiet as we close out the month and Q1 2009. It appears all positions have been taken and balance sheets adequately "dressed up" (prepared) for quarterly review. Change Since 3pm Closing Marks... FN30 _______________________________...
MBS OPEN: Generally Flat Early On

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by Adam Quinones on March 31 2009, 8:25 AM

Good Morning rate watchers. After a pessimistic trading session yesterday, stock futures indicate that equity traders are poised to push prices higher at the open. MBS will be under selling pressure early in the session as TSY yields traded higher overnight...
MBS UPDATE: IMPROVED FROM FRIDAY

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by Adam Quinones on March 30 2009, 5:02 PM

5pm Marks.... FN30 _______________________________ FN 4.0 -------->>>> +0-07 to 100-16 from 100-09 FN 4.5 -------->>>> +0-05 to 102-01 from 101-29 FN 5.0 -------->>>> +0-04 to 103-02 from 102-30 FN 5.5 -------->>>>...
MBS UPDATE: 2pm Prices

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by Matthew Graham on March 30 2009, 2:07 PM

We've gained a bit back. Treasuries are recovering as well which should provide some support. Here are intraday ticks FN30 _______________________________ FN 4.0 -------->>>> +0-08 to 100-17 from 100-09 FN 4.5 -------->>>>...
MBS MORNING: Morning Gains Lost

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by Adam Quinones on March 30 2009, 12:17 PM

The MBS coupon stack has been subjected to the sentiments of the TSY market this morning. Flight to quality helped push MBS prices higher early in the session, however quarter end balance sheet strengthening tactics have brought about fast money TSY traders...
MBS UPDATE: FIXED INCOME LOVING THE LEVER

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by Adam Quinones on March 30 2009, 9:42 AM

MBS is benefiting from a general flight to quality as a generally foul feelings on trading floors has stocks around the world bleeding out optimism after several headline news (Geithner chatter, automaker BKs, and Spanish bank rescues) events combined...
MBS OPEN: Strengthening Early On

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by Adam Quinones on March 30 2009, 8:30 AM

MBS opens strong as are spreads mixed and prices are moving higher... APRIL FN30 _____________________________ FN 4.0 -------->>>> +0-05 to 100-14 from 100-09 FN 4.5 -------->>>> +0-05 to 102-02 from 101-29 FN 5.0 -------->>>>...
MBS Weekly: Choppy Week Leaves MBS Slightly Better. Next Week Might Be OK Too!

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2009, 5:52 PM

Today was not a stellar conclusion for MBS as we fell back to more or less average levels for the week. Here is the entirety of today's action: As you can see, we ended more or less close to the lows of the day. Keep in mind that a lot of that weakness...
MBS UPDATE: After All That Commotion....

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by Adam Quinones on March 27 2009, 5:05 PM

After all that mid-day commotion, caused by some post TSY auction/pre-weekend yield curve trade positioning, MBS closed flat on the day. Matt will be posting the end of week wrap.... APRIL FN30 _____________________________ FN 4.0 -------->>>>...
MBS UPDATE: 45 Minutes Left To Official Close, Tsy's and MBS Stabilizing

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2009, 2:15 PM

Still in the green today, but just barely after stocks, tsy's, and MBS all sold off a bit just after 12:30PM EDT. Since then, tsy's reversed their losses around 130pm, stocks about 2pm. MBS traded with tsy's also bottoming just after 130pm...

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