November 2008 - MBS Commentary

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Friday 11/28 ...Late Day Rally

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by Victor Burek on November 28 2008, 12:40 PM

our 5.0 current coupon is experiencing a late day rally for a change. Currently at 100-25+ which is the highs of the day and well above the lows of 100-10.
Mid Day FN 5.0 unchanged at 100-18. More charts....

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by Adam Quinones on November 28 2008, 11:04 AM

As expected, prices of the 5.0 FN MBS have been jumpy in this holiday hungover trading session. Currently the benchmark 5.0 is bid at 100-18. 6/32 ticks above the morning post price level. Word on the street is a few investors have some aggressive rate...
MBS OPEN: Falling at the open

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by Matthew Graham on November 28 2008, 9:14 AM

An hour in now, and MBS are down 6 ticks to 100-12. If you have overnight price protection and were waiting to see where today came out, now is a good time to lock. But expect continued volatility ahead.
Friday 11/28

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by Victor Burek on November 28 2008, 7:58 AM

5.0's selling some, currently 100-12+.
MBS OPEN: Slow Day. Treasuries At Lows. MBS Unchanged

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by Matthew Graham on November 28 2008, 8:16 AM

5.0's are at 100-21. Current coupons are bid a bit better than "off the runs" (jan and feb deliveries). New scheduled data today, plus the fact that the JV teams are calling the shots mean extra potential for volatility today, but a near...
Seeing some Selling...

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by Adam Quinones on November 26 2008, 1:09 PM

The FN 5.0 has sold back to 100-20 after reaching a high of 100-28+. If you have an agressively priced investor and are looking to lock by days end now may be the time to do so
Pretty Chart....FN 5.0 +15 at 100-27

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by Adam Quinones on November 26 2008, 12:00 PM

The MBS market is still a few ticks off yesterdays 3pm levels (see chart), nonetheless the current bid should be viewed as an acceptable recovery FN 5.0: +15/32 at 100-27 FN 5.5: +13/32 at 101-25 Chart is from 10 min ago...5.0 is 2 ticks higher from when...
Quick update: FN 5.0 +15 at 100-27

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by Adam Quinones on November 26 2008, 10:09 AM

FN 5.0 is trading +15/32 at 100-27. This is 1/32 below 3pm trading levels of 100-28 (right before the reprices for the worse started to hit) FN 5.5 is trading +14/32 at 101-26. This is just 1/32 below 3pm levels of 101-28 More detailed post to follow...
MBS OPEN: Right Where We Left Off

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by Matthew Graham on November 26 2008, 8:29 AM

MBS Are Opening relatively unchanged from yesterday's levels. Tons of scheduled data on the way followed by an early close. More to follow as things change...
MBS CLOSE: Yet Another Day Of Selling After The Close

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by Matthew Graham on November 25 2008, 4:17 PM

5.0's are at 100-15 5.5's are at 101-17 Lenders that have not yet repriced for the worse may now be considering it.
Originator Selling: +2-07 at 100-23

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by Adam Quinones on November 25 2008, 3:22 PM

At the time of the last post the FN 5.0 was +2-15 at 100-30, since then the slow uptick trend has lost steam as originators sell to hedge their future rate commitments. The FN 5.0 is currently trading +2-07 at 100-23...7 ticks below the time of the last...
FN 5.0 Awarded Current Coupon Title Belt: +2-15 at 100-30

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by Adam Quinones on November 25 2008, 2:46 PM

The current coupon we have become so accustomed to watching has been retired (for now at least). The NEW current coupon title belt has been awarded to the 5.0% FN coupon. Congrats to all....it has been a fine day in mortgage world so far. Last night the...
MBS MORNING: Nominal Retracement

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by Matthew Graham on November 25 2008, 10:16 AM

Current MBS Price and Day Over Day Change: FN 5.5 30YR MBS = 101-21 .... +1-06 (36 ticks) This is off quite a bit from the highs of the morning which were over 102, but is a very nominal 38% retracement. Lenders that priced between 9:00 and 9:30 might...
MBS MORNING: Fat Tuesday

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by Matthew Graham on November 25 2008, 8:35 AM

It has been a skinny time for MBS. Day after day we were sure the government's explicit statements regarding MBS would be manifest themselves in grand fashion. We were sure it would happen! Then we HOPED it would happen. Then doubt set in. But today...
MBS OPEN: Breaking News: (the good kind)

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by Matthew Graham on November 25 2008, 8:11 AM

Current MBS Price and Day Over Day Change: FN 5.5 30YR MBS = 101-02 .... +0-19 (19 ticks) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Government just announced $500 billion direct injection into MBS market through...

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