July 2008 - MBS Commentary

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"Bernanke on Housing's Role in Recovery; Mortgage Rates Battle Back"

Published: 2/10/2012

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Thursday 7/31/08 ... Keep on keepin' on

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by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 7:28 PM

Super UN-volatile day. same 4 tick range since 9AM. It's a very stable float through the end of the day as lenders that hedged continue to come out with price improvements. The decision will come at cut-off tonight to see if you want to take the gains...
Thursday 7/31 Keep Floating (full content to follow)

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by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 4:46 PM
Thursday 7/31 At A Glance

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by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 12:52 PM

At A Glance Action Packed Day Today, going mostly in our favor so far MBS up by 9 ticks with the 6.0 at 100-17 INFLATION Employment Cost Index exactly as expected at .7% Quarter over Quarter change GDP missed it's 2.4 consensus coming in at 1.9. Numerous...
Thursday 7/31 ... Even Before At A Glance

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by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 12:45 PM

Things are looking good so far (more to follow)
Wednesday 7/30 ... In A Yellow Wood

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 9:33 PM

Two Roads Diverge before us now. We have recaptured the gains we lost last week. This is as we had hoped. But a +9000 reading on the ADP, loathe though we may be to put any faith in that report, must at least give us some measure of pause in hoping for...
Wednesday 7/30 ... Still Looking Good

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 7:12 PM

here's an up to date graph for you on the price action of FNMA 6.0's As you can see, after a slight dip this morning, there has been relatively little volatility and a good amount of buying interest in general. Spreads versus treasuries have continued...
And Keep on Floating (again)

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 4:57 PM

things are looking REALLY good now. You'll get a full post today, we promise.
Keep Floating (more to follow)

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 3:55 PM
Wednesday 7/30 ... Hello Again...

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 1:48 PM

Really nice things happening right now as spreads are obviously holding firm vs. treasuries. What I am liking right now is that the Dow has risen 117 and the S&P has risen 10.77. These are nearly 1% rises for equities. As a result of this, money has...
Wednesday 7/30 ... At A Glance

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2008, 1:14 PM

At A Glance: Housing Recovery Act Signed Into Law ADP report says private payrolls rose 9k. Fuels slight optimism (for some) for Friday's report. Mortgage Applications at their lowest level since December 2000. Stocks like all the news, futures rise bonds...
Tuesday 7/29 ... Some Scenery At The Close

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 10:02 PM

Even though the total score today is negative, our rally was impressive considering stock strength. It's another very good sign for those that are still "floating for a better day." So take a look at the below graph and you can basically see a cross section...
tuesday 7/29 Climbing Out Of The Canyon

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 7:00 PM

Rally building in fixed income. Fannie 6.0's currently only down 7 ticks on the day at 100-00.
Tuesday 7/29 ... Finding some support

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 5:20 PM

MBS has bitten, fought and clawed it's way back under a .375 YSP loss on the day and currently holding right there at 12 ticks down and 99-27. reprice for the worse risk is waning. In fact, lenders that priced "crappy" this morning may even be considering...
Case Shiller Index Graph

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 3:36 PM

Here's a graph of all the Case-Shiller data through today.
slight cause for concern

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 2:10 PM

we've lost another 2 ticks since last post, pushing us to the lows of the morning. those with short term gameplans should consider locking. BUT, although it's no guarantee, floaters will probably have access to better rates either on Friday, or some time...

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