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You are viewing Micro News from Monday, Apr 14, 2014 - View all recent Micro News
  • 4/14/14
    A lack of liquidity late in the day (compounded by...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
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    Category: MBS, alert
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  • 4/14/14
    MBS Bouncing Along Lows; Modest Reprice Risk Remains

    Nothing about trading levels has changed since 11am as MBS continue to bounce along at the lowest prices of the day.  On a positive note, they've done a good job of not breaking any lower.  On a negative note, the losses are right around an eighth of a point for some lenders depending on the time of day they generated rate sheets.

    While that suggests most are not at great risk of negative reprices, it also means it can't be ruled out for others (a few already have).  On a qualitative note, losses today would break the recent streak of steady-to-lower rates for the past 6 sessions.

    Reprice risk would increase if Fannie 4.0s move below 104-14 or if Fannie 3.5s move below 101-06.  Technical support at 2.656 in 10yr yields also seems worth glancing at as that's where yields held firm twice this morning (currently 2.643).

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
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  • 4/14/14
    Correlation between bond yields and stock prices continues...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
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    Category: MBS, alert
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  • 4/14/14
    MBS Rally Back to Unchanged As Stocks Fall

    Stocks and bonds haven't been perfectly connected all morning, but are generally moving in the same direction at the same time.  As such, bond markets did a good job of battling back against earlier weakness when stock futures shied away from a stronger rally on the Retail Sales data.

    When stocks hit the 'cash' open at 9:30am, they fell below their 8:30am levels implied by futures.  Bond markets mirrored the move, with MBS rising back above 8:30am levels.

    Both MBS and Treasuries are now at their best levels of the morning.  Fannie 4.0s are unchanged from Friday's latest levels at 104-19 and 10yr yields are still slightly weaker at 2.63.

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
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  • 4/14/14
    Bond Markets Weaker after Retail Sales Data

    Bond markets are off to a weaker start this morning thanks to a combination of modest losses overnight (stocks and bond yields bounced higher together) and additional selling pressure after a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales report.  Fannie 4.0s are down 4 ticks at 104-15 and Fannie 3.5s are down 6 ticks at 101-06.  10yr yields are up 3.1bps at 2.6. 

    Retail Sales

    • +1.1 vs +0.8 forecast, biggest rise since Sep 2012
    • Excluding Autos/Gasoline +1.0 vs +0.4 last month

    The only other economic data this morning is Business Inventories at 10am, which isn't typically a market-mover.  Of greatest concern at the moment is the fact that this post-data weakness is a vote in favor of the potential technical resistance discussed in this morning's commentary.

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
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  • 4/14/14
    A lack of liquidity late in the day (compounded by...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 4/14/14

    Nothing about trading levels has changed since 11am as MBS continue to bounce along at the lowest prices of the day.  On a positive note, they've done a good job of not breaking any lower.  On a negative note, the losses are right around an eighth of a point for some lenders depending on the time of day they generated rate sheets.

    While that suggests most are not at great risk of negative reprices, it also means it can't be ruled out for others (a few already have).  On a qualitative note, losses today would break the recent streak of steady-to-lower rates for the past 6 sessions.

    Reprice risk would increase if Fannie 4.0s move below 104-14 or if Fannie 3.5s move below 101-06.  Technical support at 2.656 in 10yr yields also seems worth glancing at as that's where yields held firm twice this morning (currently 2.643).

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
    Share:   
  • 4/14/14
    Correlation between bond yields and stock prices continues...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 4/14/14

    Stocks and bonds haven't been perfectly connected all morning, but are generally moving in the same direction at the same time.  As such, bond markets did a good job of battling back against earlier weakness when stock futures shied away from a stronger rally on the Retail Sales data.

    When stocks hit the 'cash' open at 9:30am, they fell below their 8:30am levels implied by futures.  Bond markets mirrored the move, with MBS rising back above 8:30am levels.

    Both MBS and Treasuries are now at their best levels of the morning.  Fannie 4.0s are unchanged from Friday's latest levels at 104-19 and 10yr yields are still slightly weaker at 2.63.

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
    Share:   
  • 4/14/14

    Bond markets are off to a weaker start this morning thanks to a combination of modest losses overnight (stocks and bond yields bounced higher together) and additional selling pressure after a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales report.  Fannie 4.0s are down 4 ticks at 104-15 and Fannie 3.5s are down 6 ticks at 101-06.  10yr yields are up 3.1bps at 2.6. 

    Retail Sales

    • +1.1 vs +0.8 forecast, biggest rise since Sep 2012
    • Excluding Autos/Gasoline +1.0 vs +0.4 last month

    The only other economic data this morning is Business Inventories at 10am, which isn't typically a market-mover.  Of greatest concern at the moment is the fact that this post-data weakness is a vote in favor of the potential technical resistance discussed in this morning's commentary.

    Category: MBS, UPDATE
    Share:   
 
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