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You are viewing Micro News from Tuesday, Mar 27, 2012 - View all recent Micro News
  • 3/27/12
    The morning hours were much busier by comparison, but...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    Fed's Rosengren: More Weakness Justifies More Accommodation
    From Rosengren's Speech:

    I would re-emphasize that financial-market and economic conditions have been improving since the start of the year. Central banks have played an important role in encouraging more economic growth. In the United States, accommodative monetary policy has been essential to improving financial conditions, but growth remains disappointingly slow to date, and significant downside risks remain. Should growth slow down more than is expected, more policy accommodation could be advisable.

    Even if growth should improve more than expected in the U.S., the country will likely remain far from what anyone would consider full employment – so in my view policy accommodation should only be removed once it is clear that the Fed’s dual mandate can be achieved within a reasonable period of time.

    As with monetary policy, work remains to be done to improve financial stability. Today I have highlighted one area that deserves more attention – ensuring that we reduce the risk of disruptions to credit flows that result from wholesale short-term funding problems, and that require central bank intervention.
    Category: MBS, FED
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    It's likely a bit early for all but a few lenders to...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Decelerates Appreciably
    *Big decline in headline, from 20 to 7
    * "shipments" component down to +2 from +25 last month

    Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded in March for the fourth straight month, but at a more temperate pace than a month ago, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. All broad indicators — including shipments, new orders, and employment — continued to grow but at a rate below February's pace. Most other indicators also suggested moderate activity. District contacts reported capacity utilization grew more slowly, while backlogs held steady. Likewise, delivery times and finished goods inventories grew at a modestly slower rate.

    Looking forward, assessments of business prospects for the next six months were generally in line with last month's readings. Contacts at more firms anticipated that shipments, new orders, backlogs, capacity utilization, and capital expenditures would continue to grow at a solid pace in the months ahead.

    Survey assessments of current prices revealed that both raw materials and finished goods prices grew at a somewhat quicker rate in March than a month ago. Over the next six months, respondents expected growth in both raw materials and finished goods prices to rise at a somewhat faster pace than they had anticipated last month.
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: Consumers More Confident Today, Expectations Decline
    * Confidence down to 70.2 (forecast 70.3) from 71.6 last month
    *Present Situation index improved and expectations declined
    * 1yr Inflation Expectations highest since May 2011
    * Present situation highest since 9/08

    The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in February, pulled back slightly in March. The Index now stands at 70.2 (1985=100), down from 71.6 in February. The Present Situation Index, however, increased to 51.0 from 46.4. The Expectations Index declined to 83.0 from 88.4 in February.

    The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was March 15.

    Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: "Consumer Confidence pulled back slightly in March, after rising sharply in February. The moderate decline was due solely to a less favorable short-term outlook, while consumers’ assessment of current conditions, on the other hand, continued to improve. The Present Situation Index now stands at its highest level in three and a half years (61.1, Sept. 2008), suggesting that despite this month's dip in confidence, consumers feel the economy is not losing momentum."
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    MBS and Treasuries opened in better territory this...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: 2012 Home Prices Off to a Rocky Start - S&P/Case-Shiller
    * Home Prices 0.0 Pct (Consensus -0.2) Vs Decr -0.5 Pct
    * Home Prices -0.8 Pct Non-Adjusted (Consensus -0.6) vs Dec -1.1 Pct
    * Jan 20-Metro Area Home Prices -3.8 Pct (Consensus -3.8 Pct) From Year Ago
    * Composite Index Lowest Since December 2002

    Data through January 2012, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed annual declines of 3.9% and 3.8% for the 10- and 20-City Composites, respectively. Both composites saw price declines of 0.8% in the month of January. Sixteen of 19 MSAs also saw home prices decrease over the month; only Miami, Phoenix and Washington DC home prices went up versus December 2011. (Due to delays in data reporting, the January 2012 index values for Charlotte are not included in this month’s release).

    Eight MSAs and both Composites posted new index lows in January. The 10- and 20-City Composites recorded marginal improvements in annual returns over December 2011 when they each posted -4.1%. In addition to the Composites, Dallas, Denver, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Phoenix, San Diego, Seattle, Tampa and Washington DC saw their annual rates improve compared to December; while nine of the MSAs saw their annual returns worsen compared to what was reported for December 2011. Denver, Detroit and Phoenix were the only cities to post positive annual growth rates of +0.2%, +1.7% and +1.3
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
 
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  • 3/27/12
    The morning hours were much busier by comparison, but...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    From Rosengren's Speech:

    I would re-emphasize that financial-market and economic conditions have been improving since the start of the year. Central banks have played an important role in encouraging more economic growth. In the United States, accommodative monetary policy has been essential to improving financial conditions, but growth remains disappointingly slow to date, and significant downside risks remain. Should growth slow down more than is expected, more policy accommodation could be advisable.

    Even if growth should improve more than expected in the U.S., the country will likely remain far from what anyone would consider full employment – so in my view policy accommodation should only be removed once it is clear that the Fed’s dual mandate can be achieved within a reasonable period of time.

    As with monetary policy, work remains to be done to improve financial stability. Today I have highlighted one area that deserves more attention – ensuring that we reduce the risk of disruptions to credit flows that result from wholesale short-term funding problems, and that require central bank intervention.
    Category: MBS, FED
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    It's likely a bit early for all but a few lenders to...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    *Big decline in headline, from 20 to 7
    * "shipments" component down to +2 from +25 last month

    Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded in March for the fourth straight month, but at a more temperate pace than a month ago, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. All broad indicators — including shipments, new orders, and employment — continued to grow but at a rate below February's pace. Most other indicators also suggested moderate activity. District contacts reported capacity utilization grew more slowly, while backlogs held steady. Likewise, delivery times and finished goods inventories grew at a modestly slower rate.

    Looking forward, assessments of business prospects for the next six months were generally in line with last month's readings. Contacts at more firms anticipated that shipments, new orders, backlogs, capacity utilization, and capital expenditures would continue to grow at a solid pace in the months ahead.

    Survey assessments of current prices revealed that both raw materials and finished goods prices grew at a somewhat quicker rate in March than a month ago. Over the next six months, respondents expected growth in both raw materials and finished goods prices to rise at a somewhat faster pace than they had anticipated last month.
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    * Confidence down to 70.2 (forecast 70.3) from 71.6 last month
    *Present Situation index improved and expectations declined
    * 1yr Inflation Expectations highest since May 2011
    * Present situation highest since 9/08

    The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in February, pulled back slightly in March. The Index now stands at 70.2 (1985=100), down from 71.6 in February. The Present Situation Index, however, increased to 51.0 from 46.4. The Expectations Index declined to 83.0 from 88.4 in February.

    The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was March 15.

    Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: "Consumer Confidence pulled back slightly in March, after rising sharply in February. The moderate decline was due solely to a less favorable short-term outlook, while consumers’ assessment of current conditions, on the other hand, continued to improve. The Present Situation Index now stands at its highest level in three and a half years (61.1, Sept. 2008), suggesting that despite this month's dip in confidence, consumers feel the economy is not losing momentum."
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    MBS and Treasuries opened in better territory this...
    MBS Updates are a service provided to MBS Live! subscribers only.
    Learn More | Start a Free Trial | View MBS Prices
    Category: MBS, alert
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    * Home Prices 0.0 Pct (Consensus -0.2) Vs Decr -0.5 Pct
    * Home Prices -0.8 Pct Non-Adjusted (Consensus -0.6) vs Dec -1.1 Pct
    * Jan 20-Metro Area Home Prices -3.8 Pct (Consensus -3.8 Pct) From Year Ago
    * Composite Index Lowest Since December 2002

    Data through January 2012, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed annual declines of 3.9% and 3.8% for the 10- and 20-City Composites, respectively. Both composites saw price declines of 0.8% in the month of January. Sixteen of 19 MSAs also saw home prices decrease over the month; only Miami, Phoenix and Washington DC home prices went up versus December 2011. (Due to delays in data reporting, the January 2012 index values for Charlotte are not included in this month’s release).

    Eight MSAs and both Composites posted new index lows in January. The 10- and 20-City Composites recorded marginal improvements in annual returns over December 2011 when they each posted -4.1%. In addition to the Composites, Dallas, Denver, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Phoenix, San Diego, Seattle, Tampa and Washington DC saw their annual rates improve compared to December; while nine of the MSAs saw their annual returns worsen compared to what was reported for December 2011. Denver, Detroit and Phoenix were the only cities to post positive annual growth rates of +0.2%, +1.7% and +1.3
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Decelerates Appreciably
    *Big decline in headline, from 20 to 7
    * "shipments" component down to +2 from +25 last month

    Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded in March for the fourth straight month, but at a more temperate pace than a month ago, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. All broad indicators — including shipments, new orders, and employment — continued to grow but at a rate below February's pace. Most other indicators also suggested moderate activity. District contacts reported capacity utilization grew more slowly, while backlogs held steady. Likewise, delivery times and finished goods inventories grew at a modestly slower rate.

    Looking forward, assessments of business prospects for the next six months were generally in line with last month's readings. Contacts at more firms anticipated that shipments, new orders, backlogs, capacity utilization, and capital expenditures would continue to grow at a solid pace in the months ahead.

    Survey assessments of current prices revealed that both raw materials and finished goods prices grew at a somewhat quicker rate in March than a month ago. Over the next six months, respondents expected growth in both raw materials and finished goods prices to rise at a somewhat faster pace than they had anticipated last month.
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: Consumers More Confident Today, Expectations Decline
    * Confidence down to 70.2 (forecast 70.3) from 71.6 last month
    *Present Situation index improved and expectations declined
    * 1yr Inflation Expectations highest since May 2011
    * Present situation highest since 9/08

    The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in February, pulled back slightly in March. The Index now stands at 70.2 (1985=100), down from 71.6 in February. The Present Situation Index, however, increased to 51.0 from 46.4. The Expectations Index declined to 83.0 from 88.4 in February.

    The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was March 15.

    Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: "Consumer Confidence pulled back slightly in March, after rising sharply in February. The moderate decline was due solely to a less favorable short-term outlook, while consumers’ assessment of current conditions, on the other hand, continued to improve. The Present Situation Index now stands at its highest level in three and a half years (61.1, Sept. 2008), suggesting that despite this month's dip in confidence, consumers feel the economy is not losing momentum."
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    ECON: 2012 Home Prices Off to a Rocky Start - S&P/Case-Shiller
    * Home Prices 0.0 Pct (Consensus -0.2) Vs Decr -0.5 Pct
    * Home Prices -0.8 Pct Non-Adjusted (Consensus -0.6) vs Dec -1.1 Pct
    * Jan 20-Metro Area Home Prices -3.8 Pct (Consensus -3.8 Pct) From Year Ago
    * Composite Index Lowest Since December 2002

    Data through January 2012, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed annual declines of 3.9% and 3.8% for the 10- and 20-City Composites, respectively. Both composites saw price declines of 0.8% in the month of January. Sixteen of 19 MSAs also saw home prices decrease over the month; only Miami, Phoenix and Washington DC home prices went up versus December 2011. (Due to delays in data reporting, the January 2012 index values for Charlotte are not included in this month’s release).

    Eight MSAs and both Composites posted new index lows in January. The 10- and 20-City Composites recorded marginal improvements in annual returns over December 2011 when they each posted -4.1%. In addition to the Composites, Dallas, Denver, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Phoenix, San Diego, Seattle, Tampa and Washington DC saw their annual rates improve compared to December; while nine of the MSAs saw their annual returns worsen compared to what was reported for December 2011. Denver, Detroit and Phoenix were the only cities to post positive annual growth rates of +0.2%, +1.7% and +1.3
    Category: MBS, ECON
    Share:   
  • 3/27/12
    Fed's Rosengren: More Weakness Justifies More Accommodation
    From Rosengren's Speech:

    I would re-emphasize that financial-market and economic conditions have been improving since the start of the year. Central banks have played an important role in encouraging more economic growth. In the United States, accommodative monetary policy has been essential to improving financial conditions, but growth remains disappointingly slow to date, and significant downside risks remain. Should growth slow down more than is expected, more policy accommodation could be advisable.

    Even if growth should improve more than expected in the U.S., the country will likely remain far from what anyone would consider full employment – so in my view policy accommodation should only be removed once it is clear that the Fed’s dual mandate can be achieved within a reasonable period of time.

    As with monetary policy, work remains to be done to improve financial stability. Today I have highlighted one area that deserves more attention – ensuring that we reduce the risk of disruptions to credit flows that result from wholesale short-term funding problems, and that require central bank intervention.
    Category: MBS, FED
    Share:   
 
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