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You are viewing Micro News from Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - View all recent Micro News
  • 12/4/12
    Another Day, Another Uneventful, Slightly Positive Afternoon
    While today continues to be plagued by the "little to report" phenomenon, we can't really complain about the price action. In a relative carbon copy of yesterday's pattern, we made gains in the morning and have been holding calmly sideways into the afternoon, with an ever-so-slight positive bias.

    Fannie 3.0s are into their best levels since November 9th, currently up 2 ticks at 105-10 and have traded within 2 ticks of that mark all afternoon. 10yr yields have been similarly coasting between 1.600 and 1.614 over the same time. We've seen a few positive reprices come across thankd to the stability.

    With essentially nothing on the calendar today, things have been understandably slow. But that changes first thing tomorrow morning, at least in terms of economic data as the flow of news and events will be relatively brisk through Friday morning's NFP.
    Category: MBS, UPDATE
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  • 12/4/12
    Bond Markets Looking For Guidance, Finding Some From Equities
    Even before the day began, it stood out as a barren wasteland in terms of scheduled data and potential market movers. So far that has clearly turned out to be the case with nary a salient market mover in sight.

    On days like this, if big trades don't get snowball selling/buying rolling in either direction, bond markets can either turn to the technical landscape (trading based on price patterns rather than news/data) or get risk-on/risk-off guidance from stocks. Both of these "backup motivators" seem to be in play this morning with Treasuries continuing a pattern of consolidation between late November highs and lows.

    As far as being tuned into stock markets, we'd simply note that both stock prices and Treasury yields hit their lows of the morning at 9:15 and that Treasury yields moved higher with stock prices after the 9:30am "cash" open. MBS were doing their own version of "follow the leader," essentially mirroring and matching Treasuries.

    As such, there was a barely detectable bit of weakness for MBS just after 9:30am, but it didn't gain any momentum. MBS firmed up and Treasury yields returned lower after stocks met some overhead resistance following their gains out of the gate. We might continue to watch for ongoing correlations between equities and bond markets, as well as keep an eye on technical trading levels.

    In general, guidance givers continue to be in short supply until/unless we get a big, unexpected piece of news. So far so good in that regard. Fannie 3.0s are currently up 2 ticks on the day at 105-10 while 10yr yields are just under 1bp lower at 1.6130.
    Category: MBS, UPDATE
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  • 12/4/12
    While today continues to be plagued by the "little to report" phenomenon, we can't really complain about the price action. In a relative carbon copy of yesterday's pattern, we made gains in the morning and have been holding calmly sideways into the afternoon, with an ever-so-slight positive bias.

    Fannie 3.0s are into their best levels since November 9th, currently up 2 ticks at 105-10 and have traded within 2 ticks of that mark all afternoon. 10yr yields have been similarly coasting between 1.600 and 1.614 over the same time. We've seen a few positive reprices come across thankd to the stability.

    With essentially nothing on the calendar today, things have been understandably slow. But that changes first thing tomorrow morning, at least in terms of economic data as the flow of news and events will be relatively brisk through Friday morning's NFP.
    Category: MBS, UPDATE
    Share:   
  • 12/4/12
    Even before the day began, it stood out as a barren wasteland in terms of scheduled data and potential market movers. So far that has clearly turned out to be the case with nary a salient market mover in sight.

    On days like this, if big trades don't get snowball selling/buying rolling in either direction, bond markets can either turn to the technical landscape (trading based on price patterns rather than news/data) or get risk-on/risk-off guidance from stocks. Both of these "backup motivators" seem to be in play this morning with Treasuries continuing a pattern of consolidation between late November highs and lows.

    As far as being tuned into stock markets, we'd simply note that both stock prices and Treasury yields hit their lows of the morning at 9:15 and that Treasury yields moved higher with stock prices after the 9:30am "cash" open. MBS were doing their own version of "follow the leader," essentially mirroring and matching Treasuries.

    As such, there was a barely detectable bit of weakness for MBS just after 9:30am, but it didn't gain any momentum. MBS firmed up and Treasury yields returned lower after stocks met some overhead resistance following their gains out of the gate. We might continue to watch for ongoing correlations between equities and bond markets, as well as keep an eye on technical trading levels.

    In general, guidance givers continue to be in short supply until/unless we get a big, unexpected piece of news. So far so good in that regard. Fannie 3.0s are currently up 2 ticks on the day at 105-10 while 10yr yields are just under 1bp lower at 1.6130.
    Category: MBS, UPDATE
    Share:   
 
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