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National Average	%	Change
30 Yr FRM	3.87%	0.00%
15 Yr FRM	3.16%	0.00%
1 Yr ARM	2.84%	0.06%
5/1 Yr ARM	2.82%	-0.01%
30 YR	3.14%	0.05%
Fed Prime	3.25%	0.00%

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Home Foreclosures Rise Again

After a year-long respite, foreclosures are back on...

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Fed's Bullard Says Entering Period of Exceptionally Low Interest Rates Globally

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said it is fair to say the world is entering a period of exceptionally low interest rates . Speaking in New York, Bullard said the global recession will carry through until at least the first half...

Published Tue, Feb 02 2009 1:14 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, james bullard
Preview: FOMC Minutes May Provide Insight into Federal Reserve Mindset

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's historic Dec. 16 monetary policy committee meeting may reveal the reasons for its shift towards quantitative easing, the policy of flooding the financial system with liquidity. At its Dec. 16 rate decision, the Fed...

Published Mon, Jan 01 2009 3:33 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, fomc, fed minutes
FOMC Cuts Key Interest Rate by 75 Basis Points to 0.25% (Update)

The Federal Reserve announced Tuesday that it would cut the Federal funds target rate by 75 basis points to 0.25% , going a step further than the consensus market expectation. The accompanying statement said labour market conditions have deteriorated...

Published Tue, Dec 12 2008 2:34 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: federal reserve, interest rates
Overnight Libor Makes Seven-Day Plunge

Overnight USD Libor is down sharply again on Friday, this time by 24 bps to 0.28%, marking an epic seven-day decline over which the rate has dropped 112 bps. The move comes one day after the Bank of England slashed another 100 bps to its benchmark interest...

Published Fri, Dec 12 2008 7:23 AM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, libor
Chance of 75bps Fed Rate Cut Rises to 68% Following Higher Jobless Claims

Fed funds futures are pricing in a 68% chance for a 75 bps rate cut by year-end following higher-than-expected U.S. jobless claims and a weak factory orders report. The implied probability for a 75bps rate cut has increased steadily from no chance a month...

Published Thu, Dec 12 2008 5:37 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, fed funds futures
Overnight Libor Falls Below Fed's 1.00% Target

Overnight lending rates are the story in the interbank lending market with the Libor rates falling back below the Fed's 1.00% target rates. The news comes as the Treasury Department continues to mull whether or not to tap the second tranche of the...

Published Wed, Dec 12 2008 7:51 AM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, libor
What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Markets are currently pricing in the following probabilities for future interest rate moves as of the close on Thursday: FED - OIS Implied Rates Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a 25bp cut and an 80% chance of a 50bp cut by year-end. Markets are...

Published Fri, Nov 11 2008 6:33 AM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates
Chance of 75bps Fed Rate Cuts Increases Despite Latest Government Intervention

Fed fund futures are pricing in a 40% chance of a 75bp rate cut by the year end, following negative U.S. housing data and the U.S. Government's announcement that it will pump $800 billion to revive mortgage and consumer credit markets. However, markets...

Published Tue, Nov 11 2008 5:41 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, fed funds futures
Markets Price 80% Chance of 50bp Fed Cut as AIG Loan Agreement is Revamped

Fed funds futures are pricing in an 80% chance that the Federal Reserve will slash rates by 50 bps by Dec. 16 following the U.S. Treasury's announcement that it will revise its loan agreement with U.S. insurance company AIG. However, the implied probability...

Published Mon, Nov 11 2008 4:32 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, fed funds futures
Markets Lean Towards 50 Bps Fed Rate Cut on Eve of Presidential Election

On the eve of the U.S. presidential election, Fed funds futures are pricing in an 83.4% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 50 bps at the next FOMC meeting on Dec. 16. In a note to clients, economists at Capital Economics wrote that regardless...

Published Tue, Nov 11 2008 4:01 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: federal reserve, interest rates, fed funds futures
What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Markets are currently pricing in the following probabilities for future interest rate moves as of the close on Monday: FED - OIS Implied Rates Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a 50bp cut and a 45% chance of a 75bp cut by the next meeting on Oct...

Published Tue, Oct 10 2008 6:35 AM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates
What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Markets are currently pricing in the following probabilities for future interest rate moves as of the close on Wednesday: FED - OIS Implied Rates Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a 50bp cut and an 8% chance of a 75bp cut by the next meeting on...

Published Thu, Oct 10 2008 6:33 AM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates
Fed Funds Price in 100% Chance of a Cut as Congress Battles Over Bailout Plan

As Republicans and Democrats battle over details of the bailout package, Fed funds futures are pricing in a 68% chance of a 25 bps cut and a 32% chance of a 50 bps cut for the next Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for October 29. Led by Roy Blunt, House...

Published Fri, Sep 09 2008 1:45 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: interest rates, fed funds futures, congress, bailout
Fed Funds Price in 100% Chance of Rate Cut as Markets Rally

Fed funds futures have priced in a 100% chance of a rate cut for the next FOMC meeting scheduled for October 29, as markets rallied today on a CNBC report that the U.S. government has come up with a plan to deal with the financial crisis in the U.S. Markets...

Published Thu, Sep 09 2008 4:44 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: federal reserve, interest rates, fed funds futures
Fed Funds Price in Rate Cut for Next Meeting After Fed's Decision to Hold

In the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates at 2.00% and the U.S. Government's move to bail out struggling insurer AIG, Fed funds futures are pricing in an 80% chance of a 25 bps rate cut for the next FOMC meeting, scheduled...

Published Wed, Sep 09 2008 2:23 PM by CEP News Feed

Filed under: federal reserve, interest rates

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Archives

Fed's Bullard Says Entering Period of Exceptionally Low Interest Rates Globally

Preview: FOMC Minutes May Provide Insight into Federal Reserve Mindset

FOMC Cuts Key Interest Rate by 75 Basis Points to 0.25% (Update)

Overnight Libor Makes Seven-Day Plunge

Chance of 75bps Fed Rate Cut Rises to 68% Following Higher Jobless Claims

Overnight Libor Falls Below Fed's 1.00% Target

What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Chance of 75bps Fed Rate Cuts Increases Despite Latest Government Intervention

Markets Price 80% Chance of 50bp Fed Cut as AIG Loan Agreement is Revamped

Markets Lean Towards 50 Bps Fed Rate Cut on Eve of Presidential Election

What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

What's Priced in: Current Market Expectations for Future Monetary Policy

Fed Funds Price in 100% Chance of a Cut as Congress Battles Over Bailout Plan

Fed Funds Price in 100% Chance of Rate Cut as Markets Rally

Fed Funds Price in Rate Cut for Next Meeting After Fed's Decision to Hold

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