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GDP Surprises on Upside With 3.8% Contraction

The advance U.S. GDP report came in better than expected for the fourth quarter of 2008, contracting by 3.8% against expectations of a 5.5% decline, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday. The previous quarter's 0.5% contraction was unrevised.

The negative figure is the third decline in quarterly GDP since the credit crisis began in August 2007, as the final quarter of 2007 saw a 0.2% contraction.

Prior to the release, forecasts ranged from a 3.0% contraction to a 7.0% decline.

Personal consumption, which accounts for 70% of GDP in the U.S., contracted by 3.5% in the quarter, in line with expectations and less harsh than the 3.8% contraction in Q3.

In the report's price index, personal consumption goods were down 0.1%, from a 3.9% gain in Q3, while the core figure that excludes food and energy advanced by 0.5%, following a 0.7% advance in Q3.

The Bureau emphasized that the fourth-quarter 'advance' estimates are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency.

By Erik Kevin Franco and edited by Stephen Huebl
©CEP News Ltd. 2009


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MBS Prices:
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 108-04 (-0-02)
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More From MND

Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.85%
  • |
  • 15 Yr FRM 3.23%
  • |
  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.10%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 106-23 (-0-03)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 108-04 (-0-02)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 108-32 (-0-01)
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps -1.01%
  • |
  • Refinance Index 0.83%
  • |
  • NAHB Builder Confidence 16.00%
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