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Mortgage Rates
30 Yr FRM 4.96% 0.01%
15 Yr FRM 4.33% 0.01%
1 Yr ARM 4.12% -0.10%
5/1 Yr ARM 4.09% 0.04%
30 YR Tres 4.58% -0.01%
Fed Prime 3.25% 0.00%

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Recent Polls

Will the Federal Reserve Exit from the Agency MBS Market as Planned?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes (60.5%)
  • No. They Will Extend Again (39.5%)
  • Lenders Reprice for the Worse. Mortgage Rates Move Higher

    After the release of the Treasury debt statement, benchmark yields rose and MBS prices fell. This forced many lenders to reprice for the worse. After the reprices for the worse, lender rate sheets are worse than yesterday. The best par 30 year conventional rate mortgage does remain in the 4.75% to 5.00% range for well qualified consumers though, it will just cost a few more basis points at the closing table. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Escape Three Treasury Auctions Unharmed

    Tomorrow morning we get the Retail Sales, Consumer Sentiment and Business Inventories. Of the three, the Retail Sales report has the highest potential to move the markets. Better than expected results would move rates higher while worse than expected results would only improve mortgage borrowing costs by a few basis points. I continue to advise my clients and readers to lock as rates continue to hold at the best levels of the year and market participants show no willingness to drive mortgage rates lower. Same exception as yesterday, if you can float overnight and lock on a shorter term tomorrow, I would float. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Hold Near Best Levels of 2010 as Benchmark Yields Rise

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lender rate sheets to be marginally worse when compared to Friday afternoon pricing. However the best par 30 year fixed conventional mortgage rate does remain in the 4.75% to 5.00% range for well qualified consumers. Mortgage rates are more or less holding steady near the lowest levels of 2010 even as benchmark Treasury yields have risen. If you have been sitting on the sidelines waiting to refinance, now is the time. The Fed is about to end its MBS purchase program at the end of the month, while we do not expect mortgage rates to skyrocket, we do anticipate they will move steadily higher. ...
  • Locking Loans Ahead of Employment Report. More to Lose than Gain

    Tomorrow we get the official government numbers on the employment situation. This is the most influential report offered on a monthly basis. Job creation is crucial to our overall economic recovery; if more people are out of work, there will be less consumer spending. This is bad for corporate profits and our economy. I have been saying all week to lock ahead of this report, I am sticking with that guidance. If tomorrow's report is better than expected, rates will rise and rise quickly. If it is on the screws or slightly worse, mortgage rates will probably hold steady near current levels, even if MBS prices rise. if much worse than expected, rates could dip another .125% for a brief amount of time. With rates holding at the best levels of the year and not much to gain by floating, the wise move is to lock ahead of this report. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Touch 2010 Lows

    Improvements over the course of the week have led mortgage rates back toward the lows of 2010. While floating is really tempting, if I only had one loan to float, I would lock it. If I had 10 in my pipeline, I would float 3 and lock 7. I am still not convinced lenders will offer mortgage rates below 4.75% in 2010....
  • Short Term Lock/Float Bias and the Week Ahead

    It will be a very busy week of economic data releases and headline news events. We have casually discussed the idea of a short term float position. This is a very risky move, but if you are approaching the 10 day window to lock your loan, and have a few days to watch, there might be an opportunity to pick up 0.125% in rate. That's really not much in the grand scheme of things unless you are floating a high-cost area loan amount. With that said, if you are 20 days out of closing, I still I favor locking over floating....
  • Lenders Improve Mortgage Rates as Stocks Panic. Locking Ahead of Employment Report

    I have been advising LOCK all week ahead of the Employment Situation Report, which will be released at 8:30am tomorrow morning. While there have been many whispers for both job losses and job creation, economists are very mixed about the outlook. Worse than expected jobs numbers benefit MBS prices and lead to lower mortgage rates while better than expected data leads to higher mortgage rates. Despite what I believe is a good chance of a bad report tomorrow, I am still advising to lock loans today. If the jobs data is worse than expected, rates could decline, but lenders have proven slow to pass along better rates so there is not much room for rates to fall further. If the jobs number is better than forecast or "on the screws", rates will rise quickly, ESPECIALLY AFTER TODAY'S RALLY. In my opinion, there is little reward and MUCH RISK in floating. Mortgage rates are near their best levels in over a month, still locking. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Move Higher Again. Stocks Influencing Lock/Float Decisions

    I have been advising LOCK all week. If you locked, way to go! Good timing. If you did not lock, we have some deep thinking to do. I think the easiest way to gauge that decision is: DO YOU THINK STOCKS ARE GOING TO CONTINUE TO SELL OFF or DO YOU THINK STOCKS WILL CORRECT FROM RECENT WEAKNESS. Given the relentless rally we saw in stocks from March until just recently, and the marginally more optimistic FOMC statement, I would think stocks would recover from recent weakness. This would put added pressure on interest rates to rise. Tomorrow, we get several economic reports to influence our decision, including the first read on Q4 2009 GDP, Chicago PMI and Consumer Sentiment. We know 4th quarter GDP was strong, combine that with the fact that stocks are searching for a reason to rally, and the outlook for interest rates is not consumer friendly.I think mortgage rates are still super aggressive. I would be locking still. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Hit New 2010 Lows as Stocks Sell

    With lenders still offering the best rates we've seen in over a month and further progress unknown in the rates market, I think most should consider locking in their mortgage rate. As I said yesterday, we have picked up significant gains this week, by locking now you take advantage of those gains and remove risks of rising rates. At this point, without a fundamental shift in investor sentiment or the economy, it is going to be very difficult for mortgage rates to move much lower. In my opinion you do not have much to gain by floating. Also like yesterday, I am not totally against floating into tomorrow, but do feel the recent price gains warrant locking in loans. If you do decide to continue floating, you should be re-evaluating your stance on a daily basis. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Hold Steady After Bond Auction. Still Floating

    The final Treasury auction for the week was held at 1:00pm eastern today. The Department of Treasury offered $13 billion of 30 year bonds. The results of the auction were fantastic and so was the market's immediate reaction, unfortunately progress stalled and prices fell back into the recent range. Reprices for the better were not awarded! Mortgage rates didn't budge after the strong auction....
  • Mortgage Rates Stuck in Holding Pattern. Two Steps Forward, Two Back

    Mortgage rates have been stuck in a back and forth battle all week. We started the new year with improvements which carried over into Tuesday only to see positive momentum fizzle out yesterday morning after the St. Louis Federal Reserve released a paper titled:INFLATION MAY BE THE NEXT DRAGON TO SLAY. The bond market was not a fan of this commentary as inflation is one of the main enemies of mortgage rates. Benchmark Treasury yields ticked higher and mortgage backed security prices fell after the research hit news wires. Plummeting MBS prices then forced lenders to reprice for the worse. Since that sell off, all of the progress made in the first half of the week has been lost. If you are interested AQ wrote a Plain and Simple explanation of the events that unfolded. READ MORE This was not unexpected ahead of tomorrow's release of the Employment Situation Report (Non-Farm Payrolls). Typically the rates market goes into a holding pattern ahead of major data releases...this week has been no different. Yesterday I referred to the recent trend as "two steps forwards, two steps back"....this phrase sums it up pretty well for mortgage rates. After much commotion we are no better or no worse from where we ended 2009.I do however remind of the CROSSROADS mortgage rates are at. ...
  • Mixed Markets Move Mortgage Rates Higher

    Mortgage rates ticked lower yesterday after mortgage backed securities rallied on Tuesday. However, yesterday weakness in fixed income began to snowball and prices of mortgage-backed securities began to deteriorate. Unfortunately that weakness has carried over to today and mortgage rates have given back previous gains....