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  • The FOMC Statement and Expected Mortgage Rate Reactions

    While it is widely accepted that the Fed will keep the current Fed Funds rate at 0 to .25%, many market participants are hoping for minor changes to the text, specifically the rhetoric which gives a timeline on current Fed Funds rate strategy: rates will be low for an “extended period”. Most want to see the Fed provide a clearer outlook on when to expect an interest rate hike. Others expect the Fed to be slightly more upbeat about the economy and more defensive of inflationary pressures. We are looking for limited changes as Bernanke is not likely to spook the markets in an illiquid environment. In the short run, AQ says the recent trend of rising rates may be due a short term correction if the Fed sends a more downbeat economic message and re-iterates that inflation remains subdued due to considerable "resource slack" in the economy. More than anything, we do not want to hear that inflation concerns are growing at the Federal Reserve, this would be the worst case scenario for mortgage rates....
  • Mortgage Rates Pressured Higher Ahead of FOMC Statement. Did You Lock?

    Mortgage rates ticked higher yesterday as prices of mortgage backed securities were pressured lower by a selloff in the long end of the Treasury yield curve. To remind readers, as prices of MBS and Treasuries fall, their yields or rate increase…price and yield have an inverse relationship. No major report or headline caused the moved lower, AQ and MG point out that it was a function of Friday's bond market rally being unwound before today's Treasury auction announcement and the FOMC meeting which was ignited by a "Build America Bond" issuance pricing in California. Their brains are complicated but we make a good team! Whatever the reason was, price losses held into the close and the majority of lenders repriced for the worse. Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate that mortgage rates have moved higher this morning. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage is now in the 4.875% to 5.125% range for well qualified consumers. To secure a par rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. You can elect to pay less upfront fees but your interest rate will be higher....
 

More From MND

Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.90%
  • |
  • 15 Yr FRM 3.26%
  • |
  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.15%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 106-17 (-0-03)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 107-32 (-0-01)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 108-31 (0-01)
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps -1.01%
  • |
  • Refinance Index 0.83%
  • |
  • NAHB Builder Confidence 16.00%
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