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  • Mortgage Rates Improve on ADP Data. Lose Gains as Fed Exits MBS Market

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals did indicate lender rate sheets to be improved this morning, however several lenders repriced for the worse around mid-day. This keeps the best par 30 year conventional mortgage in the 4.875% to 5.125% range for well qualified consumers. I continue to favor locking over floating. There are too many unknowns in the near term. We have the end of the MBS purchase program by the Fed today, more treasury supply coming tomorrow and non farm payrolls on Friday. Even if all these events go in our favor, at best mortgage rates might dip 0.125%. If these events go against us, mortgage rates could rise very quickly. Way too much to risk with very little to gain. The only loans I would consider floating would be ones that are a day away from locking on a shorter time frame which does give better pricing but I am a little reluctant to even float those. ...
  • Lenders Improve Mortgage Rates as Stocks Panic. Locking Ahead of Employment Report

    I have been advising LOCK all week ahead of the Employment Situation Report, which will be released at 8:30am tomorrow morning. While there have been many whispers for both job losses and job creation, economists are very mixed about the outlook. Worse than expected jobs numbers benefit MBS prices and lead to lower mortgage rates while better than expected data leads to higher mortgage rates. Despite what I believe is a good chance of a bad report tomorrow, I am still advising to lock loans today. If the jobs data is worse than expected, rates could decline, but lenders have proven slow to pass along better rates so there is not much room for rates to fall further. If the jobs number is better than forecast or "on the screws", rates will rise quickly, ESPECIALLY AFTER TODAY'S RALLY. In my opinion, there is little reward and MUCH RISK in floating. Mortgage rates are near their best levels in over a month, still locking. ...
  • Mortgage Rates at Another Crossroads Ahead of Labor Market Data

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals do indicate lender rate sheets to be improved from yesterday. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage has fallen back to the 4.875% to 5.125% range for well qualified consumers. To secure a par interest rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. You may elect to pay less in closing costs but you will have to accept a higher interest rate. MBS prices have been moving higher throughout the day so some lenders may reprice for the better. That said I recommend floating UNTIL THE END OF THE DAY to give lenders a chance to reprice for the better. ...
  • How Did The Employment Report Affect Mortgage Rates?

    Today’s report is great news for our economy....unfortunately great news for the economy is better for stocks than bonds. Following the release at 830AM, benchmark Treasury rates rose 12 basis points and MBS prices moved considerably lower... which pushed mortgage rates higher...AGAIN. While we did see a considerable amount of weakness in the market after the report, selling pushed rates to a very familiar level of support, a level we have tested several times in 2009: 3.50% on the 10yr Treasury note. In almost every run in with this support level, rates have reversed course and moved lower.This is occurring again today. Plus, year end is a seasonally supportive time for the rates market...
  • Floating is Risky Ahead of Major Market Events

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lender rate sheets to be similar to yesterday afternoon’s. This keeps the par 30 year conventional rate mortgage in the 4.75% to 5.00% range for well qualified consumers. To secure the par rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. If you are looking to access home equity, you should expect either a higher interest rate or additional fees. Despite MBS prices holding near the top of the recent range, I will continue to caution floating in the near term. We have some high impacting events approaching, the Treasury Refunding announcement tomorrow morning, the FOMC statement tomorrow afternoon, and the Employment Situation Report on Friday. These events have the potential to move rates considerably. Always remember, rates move higher faster than they move lower. Consumers closing in the near term have more to risk than to gain by floating. ...
  • Weak Jobs Data Helps Keep Mortgage Rates Near Four Month Lows

    Mortgage rates moved a few basis points lower yesterday after the bond market experienced what AQ and MG refer to as a "forced rally". Stocks were selling the dollar was stronger and the market was generally nervous about a weak Jobs report after Goldman Sachs revised their Non Farm Payrolls forecast for the worse. This equation resulted in a heavy flight to safety rally in the fixed income market which essentially snowballed as market participants looked to keep up with rapidly appreciating prices. As a result, mortgage backed securities prices closed at levels not seen since May. Following the rally in Treasury and MBS markets, lenders republished rate sheets for the better and consumer borrowing costs fell. Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate the par 30 year conventional mortgage rate has dipped to 4.5% to 4.75% range for the best qualified. To secure a par rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. If you are seeking a 15 year fixed rate, you can expect a par rate from 4.00% to 4.25%. ...
 

More From MND

Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.88%
  • |
  • 15 Yr FRM 3.25%
  • |
  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.14%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 106-15 (-0-05)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 107-30 (-0-03)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 108-29 (-0-01)
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps -1.01%
  • |
  • Refinance Index 0.83%
  • |
  • NAHB Builder Confidence 16.00%
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