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  • Mortgage Rates Improve But End Session Under Pressure

    Overnight, stock markets around the world sold off due to continued debt concerns across Europe and tensions between North and South Korea. Stocks opened lower and another flight to safety led Treasury yields fell which pushed MBS prices higher. However before the day ended the stock market recovered all its losses to close flat on the day. Consequently both Treasuries and MBS closed near their weakest levels of the session. No lenders repriced for the worse though...but we did end the day on a sour note. Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lender pricing to have improved slightly from yesterday’s repriced for the worse rate sheets...
  • Mortgage Rates Improve as Stocks Sell on Greek Downgrade

    S&P, the ratings agency, downgraded Greece's government debt to junk status earlier in the day. This was an unexpected event and resulted in stocks selling off and the bond market rallying. Lower benchmark Treasury yields helped mortgage-backed security prices rally enough to allow lenders to reprice for the better...
  • Mortgage Rates See Small Rise. Safe Decision is Lock

    I favor locking over floating at this point. There are just too many unknowns to deal with in the near term. The Fed stops buying MBS tomorrow, more Treasury debt supply is announced on Thursday, and then we get the all important Employment Situation Report on Friday. When the Fed stops buying MBS, the largest supporter of low mortgage rates will be removed from the market. While we do anticipate investor demand to remain strong, it may take some time for the secondary mortgage market to get comfortable without the Federal Reserve. This should present itself via added price volatility and the potential for larger movements in mortgage rates. While I still favor locking over floating for loans closing in 30 days, I understand why some folks might be consider waiting it out a few more weeks. Benchmark yields have risen significantly over the past week. Considering the big picture economic outlook has not changed (slow growth at best) since benchmark yields moved higher, it is very tempting to float through Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. I caution though, this is a risky move, especially because the reward you will receive is not so great. There isn't much more room for rates to move lower, 0.25% at most. The safe move is to lock. ...
  • Mortgage Rates Fall After Surprise Dip in Consumer Confidence

    Yesterday was the first day in awhile that I advised floating overnight. It paid off today. If you are being offered 4.75% costing 1 discount point, I would lock. If your rate moved lower by 0.125% (in rate, not points), I would consider locking. If your mortgage rate did not move lower today (same as yesterday), it is not likely to rise tomorrow even if MBS prices fall, so it is worth it for you to float overnight. I do think interest rates moved a long way in a short time today, with that in mind I am more nervous about letting these gains stay on the table for long. If this becomes a trend I will be more willing to let improvements ride out a few more days. ...
  • Locking Loans Ahead of Treasury Auctions and FOMC Statement

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lenders have passed along better rates this morning. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage has once again fallen to the 4.75% to 5.00% range for well qualified consumers. To secure a par interest rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. For consumers with lower scores to secure a par rate, they will be required to pay higher fees. With a busy week ahead and the Fed statement due out tomorrow, I still favor locking over floating. To be more specific on timing, if you have not locked I think you should strongly consider taking this morning's improvements before the Treasury releases auction results at 1pm. If you are a risk taker and want to continue to float keep an eye on the stock market. It has had a higher impact on interet rates lately, we refer to this relationship as the stock lever. If stocks move higher, mortgage rates will likely increase....
  • Mortgage Rates On Hold Near 5.00%

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate mortgage rates to be similar to yesterday’s. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage remains in the 5.00% to 5.25% range for well qualified consumers. To secure a par interest rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740 or higher, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. If you are seeking a 15 year term, you should expect a par rate of 4.375% to 4.50% with similar costs. There are currently two thoughts regarding the recent move higher with mortgage rates. One side is saying that this is the start of higher mortgage rates which will continue into next year as the economy continues to improve. The other side of the argument is the recent move higher isn’t an indication of a trend for rates next year but rather due to very low volume of activity due to market participants being on vacation over the last two weeks of the year. What is your opinion? Do you feel the move higher in rates will continue into next year and the days of rates under 5% are over? Or do you feel once the first team traders come back to work from their Christmas vacations that much of the losses we have suffered will be recaptured and rates will once again move below 5%?...
  • Mortgage Rates Move Lower. LOCK LOCK LOCK

    Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate rate sheets to be marginally improved this morning. The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage has fallen to the 4.50% to 4.75% range for well qualified consumers. To secure a par interest rate you must have a FICO credit score of 740, a loan to value at 80% or less and pay all closing costs including an estimated one point loan origination/discount/broker fee. If you are seeking a 15 year fixed rate, you should expect a par interest rate in the 4.125% to 4.375% range with similar costs. Today’s rate sheets are as good as they have been for quite some time. LOCK, LOCK, LOCK!!!! ...
  • Mortgage Rates Bottom Out. Lock'em If You Got'em

    While benchmark interest rates continue to chop around in a contained range, mortgage-backed securities have moved sideways, failing to make much progress in either direction. Although we have experience a few moments of added volatility, tight trading ranges have kept and generally "topped out" MBS prices have kept mortgage rates stable all week, near six month lows. As previously stated, MBS prices are hitting a ceiling, unable to make enough progress to push mortgage rates any lower. Therefore, if you are still floating, it is time to take advantage of the aggressive rates lenders are currently offering. Eventhough there is room for benchmark Treasury yields to move lower heading into year end, we do not expect MBS prices to benefit from continued gains as the recent strong performance of mortgages has many investors thinking about profit taking....
  • Mortgage Rates Teetering on Breakdown; Should the FTHB Tax Credit Be Extended?

    Mortgage rates were pushed higher yesterday after benchmark Treasury yields moved higher, outside the well defined range that has kept rates relatively stable since August. New supply of Treasury debt combined with several psychological factors pressured MBS prices lower and forced lenders to reprice for the worse. Despite this move lower, we are not yet convinced this a long term move outside the range. The market is still very nervous about a stock sell off and another dip lower in the recession. This will likely keep demand for AAA rates Treasury debt high, which would foster a steady interest rate environment....
  • Mortgage Rates Sheltered From Related Markets. Holding Near Summer Lows

    Despite a rally in equity markets, prices of mortgage-backed securities moved higher yesterday. No economic data was released, trading volume was very thin, however MBS closed at their highest level since early this summer which allowed some lenders to reissue rate sheets with lower consumer borrowing costs. For the last half of the summer and all of September, prices of MBS have been stuck in a range, yesterday was the first time they closed outside of that range (highest prices since May). We must remind that this occurred in a low volume environment. Also, with the third quarter coming to an end, it is expected that market participants will be adding AAA rated assets to their balance sheets, so we are not too excited about the extent to which this rally continues....YET. We will grow more optimistic if the recent breakout holds when the fourth quarter begins on October 1. ...
 

More From MND

Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.88%
  • |
  • 15 Yr FRM 3.25%
  • |
  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.14%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 106-17 (-0-03)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 107-32 (-0-01)
  • |
  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 108-30 (-0-00)
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps -1.01%
  • |
  • Refinance Index 0.83%
  • |
  • NAHB Builder Confidence 16.00%
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