February 2018 - Mortgage Rate Watch

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Lenders Manage Tiny Profits in 2018 Despite Rate Hikes, Inventories; Europe Helping Bonds; Don't Count Chickens

Published: 4/18/2019

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Mortgage Rates in Big Trouble

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by Matthew Graham on February 01 2018, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates are in big trouble . Whatever you've read about the current spike so far today, you'll probably need to double it after today's bond market movement. Why? Because most news stories on rates haven't yet accounted for today's bond market...
Mortgage Rates Higher Still; Intraday Volatility Increasing

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by Matthew Graham on February 08 2018, 5:22 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today, bringing the average 30yr fixed rate to another new multi-year high. That said, rates may vary quite a bit from lender to lender for several reasons. First, intraday volatility is back with a vengeance. For much...
You Thought Yesterday Was Bad For Mortgage Rates?

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by Matthew Graham on February 02 2018, 7:13 PM

If you thought yesterday was bad for mortgage rates , you're probably not going to be a big fan of today either. And since today is the end of a week, we could similarly say you won't like this week if you didn't like the previous example. That's been...
Mortgage Rates Jump Back Up to 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 07 2018, 3:40 PM

Mortgage rates surged higher today, with most lenders ending up back in line with the 4-year highs seen on Friday afternoon. At issue--among other things--is the fact that the stock market has been unwilling to continue offering up a fresh supply of drama...
Mortgage Rates End Week in Line With 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 09 2018, 9:18 PM

Mortgage rates experienced some ups and downs this week (mostly ups), but ultimately weren't able to capitalize on a few attempts to move lower. Monday's initial rate sheets were the highest in years, but they were soon superseded by afternoon improvements...
Mortgage Rates Ready to Move After Tomorrow's Inflation Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2018, 3:55 PM

Mortgage rates began the day fairly well in line with the past 2 days. While it's nice to see some stability in this environment, it's not so nice that it's occurring at 4-year highs. Do we have a shot at moving much lower or should you brace for more...
Things Just Keep Getting Worse For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 14 2018, 5:37 PM

Mortgage rates surged higher today, moving easily to new 4-year highs. Today's average conventional 30yr fixed rate is roughly one eighth of a percentage point higher than Wednesday of last week and more than half a point higher than the best rates seen...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break After Stock Market Rout

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by Matthew Graham on February 05 2018, 5:09 PM

Mortgage rates caught a break today, moving back near last Thursday's levels as bonds (which underlie rates) benefited from today's extreme market volatility. It's a common misconception that interest rates and stocks always follow each other. While this...
Mortgage Rates Steady at 4-Year Highs Despite Warning Shots

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by Matthew Graham on February 12 2018, 3:49 PM

Mortgage rates were generally in line with Friday's latest levels today. Unfortunately, those happened to be the highest in more than 4 years . Rates are primarily determined by the prices and yields of bonds. The bond market has increasingly been under...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break Before Long Weekend

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by Matthew Graham on February 16 2018, 3:49 PM

Financial markets in the US will be closed for President's Day on Monday. Thus, mortgage lenders will not be open, nor will they be accepting locks. Given that mortgage rates took the road less traveled in 2018 and actually moved lower, it's worth having...
Mortgage Rates Hit New 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2018, 5:35 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today following the release of the Minutes from the Federal Reserve's (aka "The Fed") most recent policy meeting. The Fed was slightly more upbeat than markets expected, saying that most members agreed that a stronger economy...
Mortgage Rates Head Back Toward Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2018, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today, with most lenders offering slightly better terms this morning compared to yesterday's mid-day levels. Things took a turn for the worse in the afternoon as the stock market recovery pulled money back out of bonds. Lower...
Mortgage Rates Snap Right Back to 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2018, 4:38 PM

It was a good run for mortgage rates , relative to the rest of 2018, but after spending 3 days in a row with mild-to-moderate improvements, rates quickly snapped back to multi-year highs today. The general trend in 2018 as well as the general level of...
Mortgage Rates Unable to Extend Last Week's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2018, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates moved back up today after ending last week on a positive note. Improvements in rates have been uncommon so far in 2018. In fact, we haven't seen more than 2 consecutive days without a move higher. In that sense, today keeps the prevailing...
Another 2018 First For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2018, 6:52 PM

Mortgage rates fell for the third day in a row--the first time that's happened so far in 2018! Much like last week was slightly less spectacular than its "best in 2018" designation, today also comes with caveats. Even though rates technically did fall...

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