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Mortgage Rates
30 Yr FRM 4.83% -0.08%
15 Yr FRM 4.32% -0.04%
1 Yr ARM 4.35% -0.11%
5/1 Yr ARM 4.25% -0.04%
30 YR Tres 4.30% 0.01%
Fed Prime 3.25% 0.00%

Recent Polls

Do you expect the home buyer tax credit extension to contribute to a noticeable pick up in loan production?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes, I anticipate an increase in activity (26.6%)
  • Only a modest upturn in production (44.5%)
  • Nope. 2009 demand stole from 2010 demand (28.9%)
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  • Wednesday 12/31…Jobless Claims In

    by Victor Burek on December 31 2008, 7:57 AM

    This morning jobless claims came in much better then expected. Economists where expecting 550k, but the number came in considerably better at 492k. The 4 week average fell as well to 552k, but continuing claims came in higher at 4.5 million. Normally, this would be bad for mbs, but it appears investors are shrugging off this report. Could be that they don’t believe it since it was much better. Currently mortgage backed securities are trading unchanged from yesterdays going out levels of 5pm
  • Tuesday 12/30...Breaking News

    by Victor Burek on December 30 2008, 3:58 PM

    The time frame for the Fed to start purchasing mbs is announced and will start in early January. On that new, mbs have skyrocketed higher regaining all of the loses from today and are currently up on the day. Float club is still in session. We are getting this improvement on just the news of when it is going to start, once the buying actually starts we should see rates improve to historic lows.
  • Tuesday 12/30…Ugly Start to the Day

    by Victor Burek on December 30 2008, 10:39 AM

    Mortgage backed securities are having a very ugly start to the day. Yesterday, mbs rallied early then sold off to close about where they opened but it appears the downward pressure will continue today. No real cause for the selling other then very light volume and end of year where investors want to go to cash to make the balance sheets look good. Quite often I refer to low volume as a reason for a big swing and the best way I can illustrate that to you is to have you think of baseball. A player
  • Monday 12/29…Another Shortened Holiday Week

    by Victor Burek on December 29 2008, 8:30 AM

    So far this morning, mortgage backed securities are continuing their winning ways and are higher on the day. Remember, as the price of mbs moves higher, the yield or mortgage rates, moves lower. This week is very light on data and is shortened due to New Years. On Tuesday we get Consumer Confidence, on Wednesday we get jobless claims and Chicago PMI, and on Friday we get the ISM index. I do not suspect that any of these reports will have a major impact on mbs price as a lot of traders will still
  • Friday 12/26…Should be a Slow Day

    by Victor Burek on December 26 2008, 8:42 AM

    Mortgage backed securities opened basically where they closed on Wednesday. There are no economic reports to be released today and we should see a very low volume of trades. I do not suspect that we will have a rally or a big sell off, much more likely to move sideways until next week. The bond market does close early today at 2pm est. As conditions warrant, I will post back.
  • Wednesday 12/24...End of Day Update

    by Victor Burek on December 24 2008, 1:14 PM

    We had a little Christmas Eve rally, with the current mortgage backed security closing 7 ticks higher. Merry Christmas, be back on Friday.
  • Wednesday 12/24…Tons of Economic Data

    by Victor Burek on December 24 2008, 8:26 AM

    So far this morning, mortgage backed securities are up on the day following yesterdays gains. The volume continues to be very light so any large trades can have a bigger impact on overall pricing for the day. The market closes early at 2pm eastern and will be closed all day tomorrow and closes at 2pm on Friday. Now to the data - Durable Orders, this reports the number of new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for goods that are expected to last for at least 3 years. Economists where expecting
  • Tuesday 12/23 ...MBS move Higher

    by Victor Burek on December 23 2008, 3:21 PM

    Thought i would give everyone a quick update. Our favorite mbs coupon, the 4.5, has moderately improved today. Since close yesterday, we are up 7 ticks. Some lenders repriced for the better today. Still a very low volume day. Tomorrow the bond market closes early at 2pm est. We are also getting several economic reports but i do not suspect that they will have a big impact on trading as most traders have already signed out for the week. Get back to you tomorrow.
  • Tuesday 12/23…Final GDP for 3rd Quarter

    by Victor Burek on December 23 2008, 8:04 AM

    We just got the release of the final 3 rd quarter gross domestic product and the number came in right where expected at -0.5%. No reaction from the bond market or stock market on the release. Yesterday was a rough day to be a mortgage backed security as sellers outnumbered buyers and drove the price down almost 1 full point. The only good thing to say about yesterdays trading was the volume was very light and this is to be expected Christmas week as a lot of traders are on vacation. So, we have to
  • Monday 12/22…Christmas Week

    by Victor Burek on December 22 2008, 8:20 AM

    Due to the Christmas holiday’s, we have a shortened trading week yet it is full of economic data. Today we do not get the release of any economic reports. Tuesday - Final GDP, economists are expecting a -0.5% after last months -0.5% - Existing Home Sales, economists expecting 4.93m after last months 4.98m. The number released is the annual pace of homes selling and not monthly. - Consumer Sentiment, economists expecting 58.6 after last months 57.9 - New Home Sales, economists expecting 420k
  • Should you Pay Closing Costs?

    by Victor Burek on December 20 2008, 1:28 PM

    I thought I would write a weekend blog regarding closing costs. We are heading into a refinance boom so many readers are going to be refinancing and many readers are going to ask, should I or should I not pay closing costs? It does not matter what lender or what loan originator you use, when you refinance a home or purchase a home there are closing costs. For example, your credit must be run so the lender can quote you the interest rate you qualify for. When your credit is pulled, it costs money
  • 12/18...MBS Rebound

    by Victor Burek on December 19 2008, 12:31 PM

    Nothing to get overly excited about, but mortgage backed securities have managed to rebound. We have made back all the loses and are currently up 3 ticks on the day.
  • Friday 12/19…MBS Sell Off After Auto Bailout

    by Victor Burek on December 19 2008, 10:36 AM

    This morning we get no economic reports. In breaking news, President Bush announced this morning an auto bailout of $13.4b with another $4b in February. This money will only go to GM and Chrysler and it is going to come from the TARP funds. The reason for the sell off this morning, is the TARP funds are supposed to be for housing and banking, not the auto manufacturers. We are also seeing the stock market open higher, which is drawing money out of the bond market. It will be interesting to see if
  • Thursday 12/18 ...Sideways

    by Victor Burek on December 18 2008, 1:14 PM

    Well, the sideways movement in mbs continue. I expect this to continue until January. If you are closing in January and beyond, things still look safe to be floating. Earlier today the leading indicators came in about where expected and the philly fed index was a little worse, but no reaction from the bond market.
  • Thursday 12/18…Jobless Claims are In

    by Victor Burek on December 18 2008, 8:44 AM

    This morning we will get the final economic reports of the week. Already out are the jobless numbers, economists where expecting 560k claims, but the actual number came in at 554k which is 19k less then last week. Continuing claims remains at levels not seen since Dec. 1982 at 4.38million. In about an hour, we will get Leading Indicators and Philadelphia Fed Index. Unless these reports come in much better then expected they will probably have little to no effect. Yesterday, mortgage backed securities
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