Learn. Share. Connect. (52,291 Members)  - Join

Site Tools

Join Now or Sign In
for Full Access to All Features
Mortgage Rates
30 Yr FRM 4.83% -0.08%
15 Yr FRM 4.32% -0.04%
1 Yr ARM 4.35% -0.11%
5/1 Yr ARM 4.25% -0.04%
30 YR Tres 4.30% 0.01%
Fed Prime 3.25% 0.00%

Recent Polls

Do you expect the home buyer tax credit extension to contribute to a noticeable pick up in loan production?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes, I anticipate an increase in activity (26.6%)
  • Only a modest upturn in production (44.5%)
  • Nope. 2009 demand stole from 2010 demand (28.9%)
Receive Free Email Alerts
Stay up to date on breaking news and blog posts with our free News Alert Service
  • Wednesday 7/30 ... Bad Tuesday followed by a good Wednesday

    by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 4:17 AM

    Are you getting tired of this yet? Volatility much? Let's preface the statement "good Wednesday" by saying that the "good" part comes from the fact that mortgages started out in negative territory today and fought back so slightly better levels than yesterday. At most it's probably enough to get an eighth better in terms of interest rate. What's driving this volatility and the "can't knock me down" strength of MBS? The News Bill and George The housing bailout bill burned though the senate and was
  • Tuesday 7/29 .. Good Monday Followed By A Bad Tuesday

    by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 2:57 PM

    George Jetson said it best: "Get me off this crazy thing!" The recent dramatic "ups and downs" in MBS (mortgage backed security) pricing probably have many of you singing the same tune. Today just adds to the drama. The Case Shiller Home Price Index fell to 16.9% down year over year. Although this report doesn't tend to have a major impact on rates, it's never a positive thing when the asset (homes) that secures the other asset (mortgage debt) that backs MBS, is declining in value. Merrill Lynch
  • Monday 7/28 ... Bad Friday, Followed By A Good Monday

    by Matthew Graham on July 28 2008, 8:45 PM

    Friday saw a very rough day for MBS (mortgage backed security) pricing. Recall that as the prices of MBS fall, mortgage rates rise. We had surmised last week that the market was near or at it's 'bottom' (lowest prices / highest rates) of the year and we could see steady improvement from here on out. These sentiments are always tempered by what we refer to as "headline risk." This is simply the risk that either a scheduled headline will deviate greatly from expectations or that an unscheduled headline
  • Thursday 7/24 ... Bounce of the lows as expected

    by Matthew Graham on July 24 2008, 1:29 PM

    We've had a strong bounce of the worst rate levels of the year owing to a worse than expected Jobless Claims Report and the Reassurance provided by the rapid enactment of the new Housing Bill. Despite morning weakness, yesterday ended with some decent gains, and we have only added to them this morning. (remember that "gains" refer to gains in the MBS market which translates to better rates. The Numbers The very best 30 year fixed rates are pushing down to the 6.25-6.375 range. The News Jobless Claims
  • Monday 7/21/08 ... Worst Rates Of The Year

    by Matthew Graham on July 21 2008, 3:35 PM

    If your mortgage broker is telling you that rates have gotten worse, they're right. We actually touched the worst point of the year early this morning, but have since pulled back. We surmised last week that the end of July/beginning of August would either mark the beginning of a slow improvement for rates or the precipitous falling to worst levels of the year. It wasn't really that sensational of an assumption as the markets have tended to do the same thing a majority of the time in the past. It
  • Wednesday 7/16/08 ... A couple of BAD days

    by Matthew Graham on July 17 2008, 12:59 AM

    Yesterday saw a massive sell-off in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the bonds that directly govern mortgage pricing. In the past, we have discussed "flight to quality" (FTQ) buying. This occurs when, shaken by market uncertainty, investors pursue fixed income investments in order to lock in a guaranteed return on their investment. The thought is that tying up money to earn a 4% rate of return on a bond is a better risk than hoping for an 8% return in the stock market. When all is operating
  • Monday 7/14/08 ... Good Monday After A Bad Friday

    by Matthew Graham on July 14 2008, 1:38 PM

    Concerns about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac caused a mass panic in the markets on Friday. Mortgage backed securities, treasuries and stocks were all down appreciably. Unfortunately for the "panic mentality," the market concerns were and are an obvious product of market lemmingism. The hard numbers behind the two firms do not nearly warrant the level of panic we saw. As such, we are seeing prices regain their losses after quite a bad Friday. In addition, Hank Paulson announced on Friday that, if needed
  • Thursday 7/10/08 ... Trying to Stay Positive

    by Matthew Graham on July 10 2008, 3:28 PM

    Earlier in the week, concerns over the solvency of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac drove the Mortgage Market into somewhat of a depression. A day later a key government official stated that they were sufficiently capitalized. This helped Mortgage Backed Securities to improve greatly, and they rode that wave through the next day. But this morning a different government official said that the two were basically insolvent. This hasn't hurt mortgages nearly as much as it did earlier in the week. In fact,
  • Wednesday 7/9/08 ... Happy Days!

    by Matthew Graham on July 09 2008, 1:19 PM

    After the tremendous weakness in the mortgage market last week, this week has taken a turn for the positive. One of the most important factors in causing recent weakness has been the overall "shakiness" of the broad economic picture. As we discussed, when that occurs, the "flight to quality" bond buyers tend to favor the safest bonds: US treasuries. This leaves mortgage backed securities by the wayside. All hope seemed lost when Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac--integral players in the MBS market--came
  • Wednesday 7/2/08 ... Waiting for Thursday's Data

    by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 2:49 PM

    So far this week has not been a good one for MBS (Mortgage Backed Securities). Traders have been more apt to place their money in the virtually risk-free US Treasuries as our market convulses. The phenomenon of buying bonds as stocks are falling is referred to by some as "Flight To Quality" (FTQ) buying. Since the FTQ impetus is the lowest stock prices of the year, and since this impetus took shape at the same time that a key inflation report showed moderation, traders did not mind sacrificing the