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Mortgage Rates
30 Yr FRM 4.83% -0.08%
15 Yr FRM 4.32% -0.04%
1 Yr ARM 4.35% -0.11%
5/1 Yr ARM 4.25% -0.04%
30 YR Tres 4.30% 0.01%
Fed Prime 3.25% 0.00%

Recent Polls

Do you expect the home buyer tax credit extension to contribute to a noticeable pick up in loan production?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes, I anticipate an increase in activity (26.6%)
  • Only a modest upturn in production (44.5%)
  • Nope. 2009 demand stole from 2010 demand (28.9%)
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  • Monday 6/30/08 ..... A wild week gives way to slight improvements

    by Matthew Graham on June 30 2008, 3:55 PM

    A lot could have gone wrong last week. Several variables indicated that mortgage rates would be worsening by the end of the week. Also, we had the Federal Reserve's announcement on Tuesday afternoon regarding the decision to keep the benchmark lending rates unchanged. Although the financial community had more or less already planned on the rate staying unchanged, the actual statement that accompanies the decision is the item of importance , especially when rates are not deviating from expectations
  • Tuesday 6/24/08 ........... Lot's of Volatility and More to Come

    by Matthew Graham on June 24 2008, 4:15 PM

    In A Word: It's been an extremely volatile environment for rates recently, with a huge upswing one day, followed by a huge downswing the next. Keep in mind that when we reference "huge" that is referring to huge swings in the PRICE of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which usually equates to a much less wild move in the actual interest rates. For example, on a recent day with high movement, rates only changed .125%. .25% would be considered a very high move. In the most extreme cases, we've seen
  • Thursday 6/19/08 ........... It Lasted! (but is fighting to "last" again)

    by Matthew Graham on June 19 2008, 4:56 PM

    In A Word: Last time (no pun intended), we asked if the bit of positivity we experienced on Tuesday would last. It certainly did as Wednesday was a great day that saw Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS, the bonds that directly relate to mortgage rates) rise throughout the day. The risk was that it would reverse this morning and it has not. Although volatile, and although we are not gaining any longer, we have not lost enough to ground to worsen mortgage rates by more than the smallest margin. The Why
  • Tuesday 6/17/08 ...... Will It Last?

    by Matthew Graham on June 17 2008, 2:00 PM

    In A Word: Finally we have a better than tepid improvement to MBS (Mortgage Backed Securities), this morning. MBS are the bonds backed by vast numbers of mortgages. Basically, they are the bonds investors buy when they want to invest in mortgages, so when they improve, rates come down. It takes a lot of improvement for rates to come down even a little, but nonetheless, they are more improved than they've yet been in the past week. The Why: As we've been discussing, inflation has been rearing its
  • Monday 6/16/08 ....... Bond Buyers are Reading The Writing On The Wall : GO AWAY!

    by Matthew Graham on June 16 2008, 2:16 PM

    In A Word: Despite weaker than expected economic data and the Dow average moving down, Mortgage bonds cannot seem to garner enough support to get rates to improve at all this morning. The Why: What does that headline mean? Recall that mortgage rates are a direct result of the trading price of the bonds that are secured by mortgage portfolios - Mortgage Backed Securities (referred to as MBS). MBS are part of a group of investments that pay a fixed rate of return based on a purchase price versus a
  • Mid Day Update

    by Matthew Graham on June 11 2008, 4:25 PM

    It looks like there may be a reprice for the worse very soon from some lenders (no way to tell if yours is one of them). So it is no longer recommended to float through the end of the day.
  • Wednesday 6/11/08 ..... Here's that Rebound

    by Matthew Graham on June 11 2008, 2:05 PM

    In A Word: As we discussed, there was a potential for mortgage rates to rebound slightly from yesterday's "hammering" regardless of data this morning and simply because it's the psychological nature of cyclical securities to take 2 steps forward and one step back regardless of which way they are moving. Today would be the one step back (that's a step back from the mad dash over a cliff!). So we have some relief today. The Why: Again, the Inflation Boogie Man is the culprit (the main one at least
  • Tuesday 6/10/08 ..... Completely Hammered!

    by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 10:53 PM

    In A Word: Mortgage rates that is! The scheduled economic releases today were few and uneventful, but inflation drove the bond market into a panic. The Why: Remember that mortgage rates are dictated directly by the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities, which are essentially bonds. If I lend, via a bond, $100 today, and inflation causes my present day $100 to only purchase the present day's $70 worth of goods in 5 years, my $100 is really only worth $70 when you factor in inflation. because of this
  • Monday 6/9/08 ......... Mortgage Rates Rising Again

    by Matthew Graham on June 09 2008, 3:51 PM

    In A Word: Due to stronger than expected news concerning pending home sales, mortgage rates have risen since last week. The Why: Remember that mortgage rates are dictated directly by the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities, which are essentially bonds. So when there is a greater demand for these bonds, the price goes up. And with bonds, the higher the price, the lower the yield for the investor buying it. It is this yield that translates directly into your interest rate. So, in general, when economic
  • Wednesday 6/4/08 ...... Slightly Worse than yesterday

    by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 2:04 PM

    In A Word: The data from scheduled economic reports is slightly better than expected this morning which is causing some worsening to mortgage rates. Remember, a stronger than expected economy builds faith in the stock market and other growth dependent investments. So as traders move their money out of the securities that back mortgages (MBS - mortgage backed securities), those who hold them must lower their price in order to sell. A lower price on these MBS creates higher mortgage rates. To Lock
  • Tuesday 6/3/08 ... Rocky Start, but Back In Action

    by Matthew Graham on June 03 2008, 5:20 PM

    In A Word: Although rates were at risk of getting worse this morning, the forces that move rates behind the scenes have turned positive which should lead rates, by the end of the day at least, to be the same as yesterday's. Keep in mind that as the bonds that back mortgages (Mortgage Backed Securities) trade throughout the day, it can cause lenders to change their interest rates, so things may change, but for now we are good. To Lock or Float? This is still a tough call as we have the most potential
  • 6/2/08 ..... Off To A Good Start

    by Matthew Graham on June 02 2008, 1:51 PM

    (the following was accidentally posted in the wrong section yesterday. This was posted 6/2 and a new post should follow shortly for today) In A Word: Despite some stronger than expected scheduled economic reports (which are normally bad for mortgage) , MBS (mortgage backed securities), the bonds that directly dictate mortgage pricing are doing well today, which had led to improved mortgage rates over Friday. There is no other economic data scheduled for release today, but an action packed week is