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Mortgage Rates
30 Yr FRM 4.98% -0.05%
15 Yr FRM 4.40% -0.06%
1 Yr ARM 4.47% -0.10%
5/1 Yr ARM 4.35% -0.07%
30 YR Tres 4.40% -0.01%
Fed Prime 3.25% 0.00%

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  • It Had To Happen Some Time

    by Matthew Graham on May 27 2008, 2:39 PM

    After a good start to last week, we faded on Friday and that gave way to rising rates over the weekend. They are rising yet again this morning. As we've discussed, mortgage rates are directly connected to the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities (often referred to as MBS), which are analogous to treasury bonds. MBS also tend to follow along with treasuries, although they can sometimes move in opposite directions depending on data. At any rate, the entire bond market, which includes treasuries, MBS
  • Off To A Good Start

    by Matthew Graham on May 20 2008, 2:41 PM

    The beginning of this week has seen another slight improvement in Mortgage Bond Pricing (which lowers rates). On Friday, a low consumer sentiment reading caused rates to improve in the morning, although they gave back many of those gains in the afternoon. Yesterday, the data was not on our side as Leading Economic Indicators were slightly stronger than expected. However, the stock market's reaction to the data was lackluster which helped us eke out some small improvements yesterday as well. Today
  • Yet Again, Rates Improve

    by Matthew Graham on May 16 2008, 2:33 PM

    Following a much weaker than expected Consumer Sentiment Report, demand for mortgage bonds has increased prices this morning, thus bringing mortgage rates down a bit more, and caused some selling in the stock market. Some time late this morning or early afternoon will be a great time to lock as it will take wholesale lenders a little bit of time before they pass on these gains to mortgage brokers. Wholesale lenders force Mortgage Bond gains to "hold the bar" for a certain period of time before offering
  • Still Fighting the Good Fight

    by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 3:21 PM

    Over the past few weeks, with strength in stocks, and economic reports showing either lower than expected losses or better than expected gains, the market has been operating under the impression that we could slowly pull up from our recessionary nose dive. Today's today refutes that stance and is helping Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS - the bonds that directly govern mortgage rates) to find more buyers. Thus, rates are improving. In fact, we're almost back to where we were a few weeks ago. Manufacturing
  • Sparkle and Fade brings us to another action-packed week.

    by Matthew Graham on May 12 2008, 3:39 PM

    Mortgage Bonds sparkled throughout most of last week as rates improved through Thursday. Friday brought rates back up a bit, but so far this morning, that negativity has failed to gain any momentum. There is no relevant economic data scheduled to be released today, so any movements in mortgage rates will come from other forces such as news headlines, supply and demand issues in the bond market, and "buzz" among traders. As of 11:30AM eastern, we are unchanged from Friday's levels, which, despite
  • Holding Steady From Last Week

    by Matthew Graham on May 07 2008, 1:59 PM

    This week began in slow fashion as there were next to no scheduled economic reports that affected mortgage rates. When data is in short supply, traders turn to the stock market to get clues about how to invest in MBS. Stocks have had some ups and downs this week, but are generally even with the end of last week. As a result, MBS are even as well. The activity level picks up today with more economic reports already released and set to release. however, these reports have had mixed signals for mortgage
  • Economy Loses Less Jobs Than Expected, Rates Suffer

    by Matthew Graham on May 02 2008, 8:12 PM

    The Employment Situation report was released today. The most important component of this report is the Non-Farm-Payrolls. Analysts had predicted that this number would read negative 75,000. However, the actual reading was only negative 20,000. This is significantly better than expected and adds to what some consider to be growing evidence that the economy is pulling up from a nose dive into recession. In general, when the economy is weak and inflation is under control, mortgage rates will be low