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Zillow Announces Upgrades To Site As First Birthday Approaches

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Clarification About The Zillow Website

Zillow.com the website that enables homeowners and real estate voyeurs to check out their homes' values and those of their neighbors and friends has added a couple of new wrinkles. And, because they heralded these "upgrades" with a press release, we decided it was time to take another look at the site.

Zillow was founded earlier this year with the stated mission of providing cutting-edge tools and information to help consumers make smarter real estate decisions. At the time of its creation it was a phenomenon. It was featured on most networks and so many people flocked to the site - and stayed to process multiple searches - that the web site crashed. At its most basic it allowed visitors to check out the value of their homes and those of neighbors and friends but it had some fun features. Its instant valuations, called "Zestimates" were largely drawn from public records, i.e. assessors' data and updated with actual sales data. Where adequate information exists it is plugged into a formula to refine a market value for individual homes. Therefore, the Zestimates are a melange of facts and speculation and while Zillow originally provided guidance in the form of stars to indicate their own confidence in their information, these have disappeared. The reader would be well advised to seek additional data rather than making important decisions based solely on Zillow.


In early February we reviewed Zillow in several articles and were basically under whelmed. We tried to cut a lot of slack for the site due to its Beta status, but found some wildly out of whack values, huge parts of the country that were not covered, (supposedly around 49 million homes were in the database at that point) and small but persistent inaccuracies. But there were also a lot of fun features like one that allowed a visitor to add improvements to a house to see what effect a new kitchen or a pool would have on the Zestimate. This feature is apparently still available but only to those who have "claimed" their home. As far as we could see comparables cannot be manipulated to approximate an appraiser's view of the property vis-a-vis comparables.

Today Zillow claims to have created a web page for almost every home in the country - some 70 million at present - and we found that the out-of-whack numbers have been eliminated, at least in areas where we were competent to make a judgment.

In addition to some of the features that were there and now seem not to be and in spite of many improvements to the database, the site is just hard to use. We played around for more than an hour before we could find a house (any house) that was for sale by owner or one where the owner had challenged one and all to make him move. Once we figured out how to locate these properties, and it would not have been that difficult if any instructions were provided, there was constant slippage of the search criteria (we were selecting only by city and number of baths) and we were bounced back to macro views.

Homeowners can now "claim" their homes. By proving ownership - either by entering a credit card with the correct billing address (Zillow promises to destroy the information upon verification) or faxing or mailing such documentation as a deed, tax bill, or utility bill - an owner can change the information that Zillow has created for the property, input improvements that may not appear in assessor's records or correct inaccuracies that do, list the home for sale, or set a Make Me Move price. But we are getting ahead of ourselves.

In a press release earlier this month, the Zillow folks announced a "major upgrade; homeowners and agents can now post homes for sale, for free." They also launched a feature called "Make Me Move?" that allows homeowners to list their dream price - the return on their investment that would indeed make them pack up and get out.

As of December 18 Zillow claimed to have 9,880 homes listed for sale, for free, on its site. In the metropolitan areas we visited Zillow did not include homes from multiple listing services on the site but, as many of the free ads are supplied by real estate agents, there is bound to be some duplication with Realtor.com and websites operated by agents in the local area. The Zillow listings are multiplying exponentially since the press release, but, is this a needed service, another add-in that agents can use to market their own service to sellers, or just more noise in the system?

Consolidated listings for FSBOs are hardly revolutionary. In the late 1990s a major mortgage company in New England managed to alienate every agent in a tri-state area by placing full page ads in major market newspapers with FSBO listings. Run an Internet search on "FSBO" and see the number of sites - some free some not - that pop up nationwide. If a single nationwide site for FSBOs were to emerge it would be helpful for both buyers and sellers but as Zillow currently structures its listings, one has to wade through both listed and FSBO properties and the former are likely to be duplicates of listings that the buyer has already reviewed. It was basically a time sink.

The "Make Me Move" feature left us scratching our head. Home owners are invited to list their homes for sale at a dream price. Should anyone be interested in such a property at such a price, there is a mechanism to contact the owner and proceed from there.

But why?

This might have been useful when the real estate engine was roaring and buyers were desperate to buy homes in certain school districts or with unusual features such as historic value or a water view; back when there were potential buyers prowling the streets and leaving notes in mailboxes asking to be contacted should the owner wish to sell. Those days are, at least temporarily behind us. But the idea that, even then, anyone would be looking for a 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch on a suburban street in an ordinary town at a price that greatly exceeds the market value is just ....dumb.

The MMM listings we pulled up pretty much met that profile; in Seattle a house with a Zestimate of $395,000 and a MMM of $504,000; Waltham, Massachusetts a house with a Zestimate of $443,762 and an owner's own estimate of value of $488,876 could be purchased for $512,000. The list goes on. Whether this is an ego trip for sellers, whether they would even sell at such pie in the sky prices, 5,431 owners have listed their homes as MMMs. This again is a huge increase over the number of listings one week ago.

A third new feature is Real Estate Wiki which the Zillow owners have "seeded" with 100 articles on all phases of real estate subjects are broken down into categories for buyers and sellers and further into sub topics such as getting started, the buying/selling process, and so forth. When we first visited a week ago those articles we reviewed appeared to have been commissioned by Zillow and were factual and well written. Today the Wiki had emerged. A real estate company in San Diego was using a one paragraph article to drive business to its website; a mortgage broker provided some pretty startling information about his profession and one had to wonder about the accuracy as well as the motivation. As with all consumer-generated information the reader needs to be alert to the possibility of misuse or manipulation and it would be nice to know if Zillow is monitoring the postings for misleading information or potential mischief.

So will these innovations revolutionize the way real estate is bought and sold? Clearly the folks at Zillow hope so. Are the changes visionary, maybe a better question would be, are they useful?

Please share your thoughts below about what impact, if any, Zillow will have on the real estate industry.

Clarification About The Zillow Website



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Comments (13)

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Zillow "Guess-Idiots" appear to rely on public tax records that in some cases haven't been updated in twenty-five years. The zestimator is a sketchy tool to rely on. I believe it's best to use a Professional Realtor when appraising property.

Above Posted By: Ron Asteak | Fri, 27 Jul 2007 20:28:43 EST

I read the Mortgage News on a regular basis. Clearly Zillow has created a buzz! It is unusual to see this many comments on an article. Keep up the good work.

Above Posted By: Roberta | Sat, 23 Dec 2006 17:07:13 EST

Something that most people do not understand is that being a Realtor is very expensive. Part of that expense is the membership to Realtor Orginizations. The proprioritory attitude of individual MLS organizations hurts the market. If every real estate agent would put their listings on Zillow, I think it will enhance the market and help real estate agents. It takes a lot of skill and training to facilitate a real estate transaction. Zillow will not change that.

Above Posted By: Barbara Lynch | Thu, 21 Dec 2006 07:01:40 EST

Modern technologies have made it possible to sit at home and find virtually any real estate data without contacting anyone in person. I use several Web-based services, such as HomeInfoMax for property information and transactions, and Zillow for quick valuations. Yes, at times it isn't precise or totally accurate, but with a little research, I almost always find what I want. When I cannot find something I need, only then I may call a Realtor, but that's quite rare.

Above Posted By: Alexander | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 23:57:28 EST

I have found most of the time that the zillow estimate is higher than the the market value of a property, and at times low. But over all zestimates are higher, and how much higher will change from city to city, or areas within a city.

Above Posted By: Joe | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 20:52:27 EST

Reply to Amy B - As a Realtor, I earn my fees for what is typically months of work marketing the home and managing the entire transaction from contract to close. I have cleaned & painted houses, helped pay for storage units, answered my phone at all hours. I've worked with divorcing couples, deaths of parents, scared first time buyers and more. Zillow is a good tool but still doesn't have accurate pricing - I put two listings in to see what happens and the comps are not correct!

Above Posted By: Janice | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 16:40:14 EST

I was under the impression that Zillow.com was under heavy fire by FHA reps for over "Zestimating" homes.

Above Posted By: Todd N. Burks | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 15:11:02 EST

I checked for a Zestimate on several propeties our family owns. All are in metro areas- two were off by $100,000+- did not show accurate purchase data or sales.These counties ALL have records online- it is hard to imagine why this information did not appear. The other two properties were not found including one in Maryland which was listed with 4 stars for accuracy. So, unless you live in one of the few areas shown with 4-5 stars (mostly west coast)- this is usless and a total waste of time.

Above Posted By: Anonymous | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 14:43:48 EST

As a Realtor, I have watched and utilized Zillow for several months. Some features are helpful, i.e., the graphs and trends for the subdivisions where there is sufficient data. Problems arise when we dump all the homes in a particular area into the same pot, stir them up, and deliver them as one flavor. Zillow is a useful tool, and may become an attractive advertising medium but will not replace Realtors.

Above Posted By: Anonymous | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 14:34:57 EST

I think it's great! I'm tired of Realtor's high fees! Real estate commissions have been one of the last bastions that have been trying to fight off competition from the Internet. Go Zillow! Couple caveats: obviously sometimes values are low and can't reflect recent remodels or additions, also someone posting a home for sale will be somewhat subject to a potential buyer's concern that a zestimate may be lower than the sales price. Go forth and prosper!

Above Posted By: Realtor | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 14:24:46 EST

<-- Cont
Zestimates are a starting point based on the amount of publicly-available data for a particular home. A tool called My Estimator is available to all users of the site (not just those who have claimed their own home), which allows you to add in things like a recent kitchen remodel or added bedroom for a more accurate estimate. This is saved in a private worksheet, however owners who have claimed a home can also now choose to publish this information on their own homes.

Thanks again for feedback, we take these issues very seriously in trying to make the product better for both consumers and agents who wish to market their listings on Zillow.

Above Posted By: Amy B at Zillow | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 12:25:47 EST

Hi there, it's Amy from Zillow. Thanks for checking out the site and for your feedback. I do want to set the record straight on a few of the things mentioned that aren't quite accurate:

Zillow continues to show rates of Zestimate accuracy, county-by-county, for every area covered. It is linked off the home page (as it has been since launch), and can be found here:
http://www.zillow.com/howto/DataCoverageZestimateAccuracy.htm

Nationwide, when Zestimates are compared against actual sale prices the median margin of error is 7.2%, but you can also check for individual counties and states, as well as see the star rating. Cont -->

Above Posted By: Amy B at Zillow | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 12:24:11 EST

I completely disagree with this article. This article seems to be written by someone with vested interest. I have used zillow extensively and it gives a very good ball park figure. Plus it shows trends for a house, zip code and the city. I haven't found a single other source which can show me that. Realtors and Real estate agents can but these days I find them very biased. Websites like this are a threat to realtors just like orbitz, travelocity did to travel agents.

Above Posted By: Anonymous | Wed, 20 Dec 2006 10:36:44 EST


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